Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction and Preview: NBA, Oct 22
The Thunder host the Nuggets in Oklahoma City on Thursday, October 22, at 9:30 PM ET.
Price: Thunder 75¢, Nuggets 25¢ (Polymarket, as of Thu 10:50 AM ET)
Kalshi: Thunder 74¢, Nuggets 26¢
Game total: 236.5 points (over 49¢, under 52¢)
2027 title price: Nuggets 3¢, Thunder 25¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
For tonight’s other games, see NBA predictions; today’s board covers every sport.
Nuggets vs Thunder prediction: what the price says
The market leans hard toward the Thunder: 75¢ to 25¢. Kalshi has the Thunder 1¢ cheaper at 74¢. NBA MARKET keeps both apps side by side.
The Thunder opened at 72¢, so the price has moved 3¢ toward them since. Favorites at tip are 10-4 this season (71%) across the games logged on our results page.
Nuggets vs Thunder player stats
2025-26 numbers, current rosters. Usage is the share of possessions a player finished with a shot, free throws or a turnover while on the floor.
Nuggets
Nikola Jokic: 34.8 min, 30.4% usage, 27.7 pts, 12.9 reb, 10.7 ast
Jamal Murray: 35.4 min, 27.9% usage, 25.4 pts, 4.4 reb, 7.1 ast
DeMar DeRozan: 31.2 min, 22.8% usage, 18.4 pts, 2.9 reb, 4.1 ast (new, was SAC)
Christian Braun: 31.8 min, 14.8% usage, 12.0 pts, 4.8 reb, 2.7 ast
Cameron Johnson: 30.5 min, 15.1% usage, 12.2 pts, 3.8 reb, 2.4 ast
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 33.2 min, 33.3% usage, 31.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 6.6 ast
Jalen Williams: 28.4 min, 26.1% usage, 17.1 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.5 ast
Chet Holmgren: 28.9 min, 21.9% usage, 17.1 pts, 8.9 reb, 1.7 ast
Ajay Mitchell: 25.8 min, 21.8% usage, 13.6 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.6 ast
Cason Wallace: 26.6 min, 14.5% usage, 8.6 pts, 3.1 reb, 2.6 ast
What to watch in Nuggets vs Thunder
Jokic drives the Nuggets. 30.4% usage in 34.8 minutes last season; Murray is next at 27.9%.
Gilgeous-Alexander drives the Thunder. 33.3% usage in 33.2 minutes last season; Williams is next at 26.1%.
Watson’s shots are up for grabs. He used 20.6% of the Nuggets’ possessions in 29.6 minutes before leaving for CLE.
Check Williams’ status before tip. He played 33 games last season, so the injury report matters more than any matchup angle.
Questions about Nuggets vs Thunder
Is Nikola Jokic playing tonight?
Nikola Jokic was not on the injury report as of Thu 10:50 AM ET.
Is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing tonight?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was not on the injury report as of Thu 10:50 AM ET.
Who is favored: the Nuggets or the Thunder?
The Thunder. Polymarket has them at 75¢, which reads as about a 75% chance, and the price moves live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Nuggets vs Thunder?
Thursday, October 22, at 9:30 PM ET, in Oklahoma City.
Kalshi gives new traders $25 when you trade $25, code SKILL. Claim it here.
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