The Kalshi CS2 hub.
Picks, prices and results for CS2 on Kalshi, every play logged win or lose.
Trade CS2 on Kalshi →NAVI vs PARIVISION to go three maps
Took the decider at 51¢ on total maps. It went the distance.
Spirit to win vs 1win
Backed Spirit at 38¢ once the series turned. 1win closed it out.
Wildcard to win vs Esport Academy Copenhagen
Backed Wildcard at 56¢ and they got it done.
FaZe to win vs Nemiga
Backed FaZe at 41¢ in the quarterfinal. Nemiga won it, and FaZe went out the next day.
GamerLegion to win vs NIP
Backed GamerLegion in the final but they were disappointing in the loss to a new-look NIP.
M80 to win vs DENDELE
M80 at 45¢ in the third-place series, traded after the first half of the first map. M80 took the series and it paid $106.99.
3DMAX to win vs Luminosity, closed early
3DMAX at 43¢ in the best-of-five Play Connect grand final, with our number at 48.2. They built a commanding 2-0 series lead, then looked shakier with every map after, so I sold before the finish. They held on to win the fifth map in overtime, so holding would have paid more.
MOUZ to win vs FURIA
MOUZ at 45¢ against FURIA. FURIA took the series.
Vitality to win StarSeries Fall
Vitality to win the event at 49.7¢, bought before the playoffs. They beat Aurora in the final and it settled at $98.49.
GamerLegion to win vs FURIA
GamerLegion as a 16¢ underdog against FURIA. FURIA won it.
Falcons and MOUZ combo
Both semifinal underdogs in one combo at 16¢, done the moment Falcons went out.
Falcons to win vs Spirit
Falcons at 41¢ with GOS fair at 46.4, and Spirit closed it out.
1WIN to win vs Bushido Wildcats
1WIN at 55¢ against Bushido Wildcats. The market sat at 53 with 1WIN behind early. Settled at $18.26.
Eternal Fire to win vs Nuclear TigeRES
Even money in the upper-bracket semi, our fair 53. Nuclear TigeRES won 2-0.
FUT to win vs Lynn Vision (live)
Bought live with FUT down a map. Our pre-slate number was FUT 86. They won the next two.
FaZe + B8 two-pick combo
FaZe over Vitality plus B8 over Spirit, $25 at a $488.28 max payout. Missed.
G2 + FUT two-pick combo
G2 over Astralis and FUT over Magic in one combo. $19 returned $103.35.
GamerLegion to win vs Luminosity
GamerLegion at even money against Luminosity. 13-3 on Nuke.
HEROIC to win vs NIP, bought live at 1-1
First logged in-play entry. This series was a coin flip on my numbers, so 40¢ for HEROIC with the decider ahead was a double-digit gap. They closed it out.
Wildcard to win vs Gentle Mates
Wildcard have looked solid since bringing on a dedicated in-game leader in nEMANHA. I expected them to beat a Gentle Mates side playing a stand-in AWPer.
B8 to win vs Nemesis
B8 are more battle-tested than Nemesis. A best-of-one is never safe, but I expected B8 to go 2-0 at the event.
BIG to win vs Lynn Vision
MARKET showed a thin edge for Lynn Vision, but BIG were still clear favorites. blameF has done good work since taking over as in-game leader.
PARIVISION to win vs Alliance
More firepower and experience than Alliance. MARKET put Jame and company at 68.9 percent against a Kalshi price of 66.
Falcons to win vs Vitality
Falcons at 31¢ against Vitality. Returned $76.92.
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What is Kalshi CS2?
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange where you trade CS2 outcomes, such as who wins a game or an event. This hub logs every Kalshi play we make, with the result.
What is WIRE PRO?
Our paid membership, $14.99 a month. It adds our fair value against the live price on every series we rate, the gap as it moves, a new number after every map, handicaps and total maps, and kill projections for every player. See WIRE PRO.
Is Kalshi legal for CS2 prediction markets in the US?
Kalshi is a designated contract market overseen by the CFTC and is available in most states. Some states are still contesting sports and esports contracts, so check Kalshi for where you are before you sign up.
How do CS2 prediction markets work on Kalshi?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it does not. A team at 65 cents pays $1 on a win, so the price reads as the chance the market gives it. You can sell before the result if the price moves.
What does Kalshi charge?
Kalshi makes its money from trading fees rather than taking a side. The fee depends on the price and the number of contracts, and it is shown before you confirm a trade. A fee raises your break-even, so a small edge can disappear once you count it.
Can you make money trading CS2 on Kalshi?
Only if the prices you pay are below the true chances often enough to cover fees and the trades that lose. Every play here is logged with its result, wins and losses alike.
What CS2 events does Kalshi cover?
Kalshi lists CS2 markets for many of the larger events. Game markets usually open once the matchups are set, and event winner markets stay open through the event. What is listed changes, so check Kalshi for the current board.
How do MARKET, CARNAGE, and RANGE fit together?
CARNAGE rates the players, MARKET shows the live price on each series we cover, and RANGE ranks the slate by output. Our fair value against the Kalshi and Polymarket price, updated after every map, is in WIRE PRO.
Totals count settled plays only. Open positions join them when Kalshi settles.
| Pick | Implied | Entry | Payout | P/L | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 mapsNAVI vs PARIVISION | 51% | $10.00 | $19.70 | +$9.70 | Win |
| Spiritvs 1win | 38% | $20.00 | – | -$20.00 | Loss |
| Wildcardvs Esport Academy Copenhagen | 56% | $14.99 | $26.60 | +$11.61 | Win |
| FaZevs Nemiga | 41% | $25.00 | – | -$25.00 | Loss |
| GamerLegionvs NIP (final) | 62% | $25.00 | – | -$25.00 | Loss |
| M80vs DENDELE | 45% | $50.00 | $106.99 | +$56.99 | Win |
| 3DMAXvs Luminosity (closed early) | 43% | $48.49 | $61.99 | +$13.51 | Win |
| MOUZvs FURIA | 45% | $20.00 | – | -$20.00 | Loss |
| VitalityStarSeries Fall winner | 50% | $49.00 | $98.49 | +$49.49 | Win |
| GamerLegionvs FURIA | 16% | $12.00 | – | -$12.00 | Loss |
| Falcons + MOUZ comboFalcons > Spirit + MOUZ > Vitality | 16% | $10.00 | – | -$10.00 | Loss |
| Falconsvs Spirit | 41% | $10.00 | – | -$10.00 | Loss |
| 1WINvs Bushido Wildcats | 55% | $10.00 | $18.26 | +$8.26 | Win |
| Eternal Firevs Nuclear TigeRES | 50% | $20.00 | – | -$20.00 | Loss |
| FUTvs Lynn Vision (live) | 60% | $26.00 | $43.54 | +$17.54 | Win |
| FaZe + B8 comboFaZe > Vitality + B8 > Spirit | 5% | $25.00 | – | -$25.00 | Loss |
| G2 + FUT comboG2 > Astralis + FUT > Magic | 18% | $19.00 | $103.35 | +$84.35 | Win |
| GamerLegionvs Luminosity | 50% | $46.00 | $92.46 | +$46.46 | Win |
| HEROICvs NIP | 40% | $25.00 | $55.90 | +$30.90 | Win |
| Wildcardvs Gentle Mates | 58% | $24.99 | – | -$24.99 | Loss |
| B8vs Nemesis | 61% | $24.99 | – | -$24.99 | Loss |
| BIGvs Lynn Vision | 65% | $24.99 | $38.10 | +$13.11 | Win |
| PARIVISIONvs Alliance | 66% | $24.99 | $37.54 | +$12.55 | Win |
| Falconsvs Vitality | 31% | $25.00 | $76.92 | +$51.92 | Win |
| paiNvs Monte | 28% | $24.99 | – | -$24.99 | Loss |
| G2vs Spirit | 32% | $15.00 | – | -$15.00 | Loss |
| FURIA / Montethree maps | 53% | $20.00 | – | -$20.00 | Loss |
| HEROICvs Aurora | 34% | $10.00 | $26.58 | +$16.58 | Win |
| G2 / Vitalitythree maps | 36% | $25.00 | $66.46 | +$41.46 | Win |
| HEROICvs Monte | 51% | $24.99 | $46.77 | +$21.78 | Win |
| FURIAvs Falcons | 46% | $20.00 | – | -$20.00 | Loss |
| MOUZvs FURIA | 23% | $19.88 | – | -$19.88 | Loss |
| PARIVISIONvs Spirit | 31% | $49.73 | $153.00 | +$103.27 | Win |
| Nemigavs K27 | 47% | $49.72 | $102.00 | +$52.28 | Win |
| G2vs BetBoom | 65% | $24.64 | – | -$24.64 | Loss |
| Alliancevs Aurora | 21% | $24.83 | $112.00 | +$87.17 | Win |
| NIPvs Gentle Mates | 18% | $24.05 | – | -$24.05 | Loss |
| NIPvs HEROIC | 49% | $49.54 | – | -$49.54 | Loss |
| FUTvs PARIVISION | 42% | $43.71 | $100.00 | +$56.29 | Win |
| EYEBALLERSvs FOKUS | 37% | $19.71 | $51.00 | +$31.29 | Win |
| B8vs Legacy | 43% | $19.68 | $44.00 | +$24.32 | Win |
| MIBRvs 3DMAX | 44% | $24.70 | – | -$24.70 | Loss |
| Astralisvs FUT | 23% | $19.88 | – | -$19.88 | Loss |
| NRGvs Legacy | 29% | $20.00 | – | -$20.00 | Loss |
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