PGA Wire: Live Golf Prediction Market Prices and Moves

pga wire_

This week’s PGA Tour event, live on Polymarket and Kalshi.

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How to read it

  • A price is a chance. A player at 18¢ to win pays $1 if he does, so the market gives him about an 18% chance.
  • The field is everyone else: 100 minus the favorite’s price.
  • The chart follows the five favorites on Polymarket over the last three days.
  • The wire logs moves of 2¢ or more in six hours, a new favorite, and the same player priced differently on the two apps.

Follow the tour

pga wire_Live pricesThis week’s favorites, a price chart and every move.pga market_Kalshi vs PolymarketEvery player to win and to finish top 5, 10 or 20, on both apps.pga rounds_Cut and round leadersWho makes the cut and who leads after each round, on both apps.pga futures_Majors and the seasonNext year’s majors and every golf market beyond this week.

Best golf apps

KalshiKalshi$25when you trade $25Tournament winners and top 10s, CFTC regulatedPolymarketPolymarket$25on a $10 depositEvery PGA Tour event and the majorsUnderdogUnderdog$50when you play $10DFS pick’em and Underdog Predicts, 40+ statesChalkboardChalkboard$100bonus plus a free pickDFS pick’em, golf includedNovigNovig$50on a $10 depositCFTC exchange, 47 statesProphetXProphetX$75when you trade $50CFTC exchange, 48 statesBetrBetr$200no-sweat entriesPick’em plus Polymarket predictions, in betaRebetRebet100%match up to $100Peer to peer, entries matched between users
New users, every appSKILLpromo code

FAQ

What is PGA WIRE?

A live view of this week's PGA Tour event on the prediction markets: the favorites, a price chart for the top five, a board of the top 20 on Polymarket and Kalshi, and a log of every meaningful move.

How often does it update?

Every minute while the page is open. Prices move most between rounds and on the back nine on the weekend.

Why do longshots look cheap?

With 140-plus players in a field, most of them are priced in single cents. A 3¢ player pays $1 if he wins, which is about 33 to 1 before fees.

What happens if a player misses the cut or withdraws?

His winner contract settles at $0 straight away. Top 5, 10 and 20 contracts follow the rules on each app, so check them before you trade.

Where can I trade these markets?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, available in most states, and lists the winner and top 5, 10 and 20 for most PGA Tour events. Polymarket is available in the US through polymarket.us. Both are partners, so code SKILL applies at sign-up. Nothing here is a recommendation.

More

Best prediction market appsGuideEvery app that lists golf, what each covers and its offer.Kalshi reviewReviewHow Kalshi works, its fees and where it is available.Polymarket reviewReviewPolymarket US, its fees and how it compares.TodayEvery sportEvery game today across the NFL, NBA, CS2 and the Premier League.

18+ only. Trading is risky and 100% loss can occur. Offers have limits and are not available in all jurisdictions. Prices move, and this is not advice.