Tonight’s player numbers from Kalshi and Polymarket player markets.
Kalshi is each player’s number in Kalshi’s player markets tonight. Share is his part of the team total. Tap a player for his prices.
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Questions
How is the market number worked out?
Kalshi prices each step of a stat: 1+ rebound, 2+, 3+ and up. Each price is the chance he gets there, and adding them gives the average the market expects. Example: 99¢ down to 6¢ for 1+ through 10+ add up to 5.6 rebounds. The ladder stops at a top step (like 40+), so for the biggest scorers the number can read slightly low. Points steps are 5 apart, so each counts for 5 points.
What is the likely range?
Where the market expects him to land: the highest step priced about 70¢ or more, to the highest about 30¢ or more. 21 to 30 points means roughly a 70% chance of 21+ and 30% of 30+.
How is share of team counted?
His market number divided by the total of every teammate Kalshi lists, leaving out players ruled out on the injury list. Backups without a market aren’t counted, so shares run slightly high.
What does Traded mean?
Dollars traded on all his Kalshi markets combined. Hover or tap for the last 24 hours. More money traded means a better-tested price.
Why did a player’s market number move?
Usually an injury report, rest day or lineup news. When a starter is ruled out, the teammates who take his shots rise within hours. NBA ROLES shows those shifts by team.
What do O, D and Q mean?
Out, doubtful, questionable, from the GOS injury list. Tap the player for the injury. NBA statuses change through the day, so check the official report before trading.
How fresh are the numbers?
Kalshi prices reload every five minutes while the page is open. Since yesterday compares with prices a day earlier.
How does the Polymarket comparison work?
Polymarket lists one number per player, like over 24.5 points. We read Kalshi’s price for the same result from its steps on either side. Polymarket shows only when its market has $500+ traded and a buy/sell gap of 8¢ or less. Prices are before fees.
Prices: Kalshi and Polymarket player props. Market numbers and shares are Game of Skill’s math on Kalshi’s prices.
18+ only. Trading is risky and 100% loss can occur. Offers have limits and are not available in all jurisdictions. Not advice.