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Every game shows the GOS fair value, the current Kalshi price, and the spread between them for the model-favored side. +5% or more is worth a look. +8% or more is a clear edge. Under +3% the market is priced close to fair.
What is MARKET?
MARKET is the Game of Skill CS2 prediction market scorecard. Every game on the slate gets a GOS fair value probability, the current Kalshi price, and the spread between them for the model-favored side. Fair value is computed from GOS team ratings, CARNAGE player ratings, map pool data, form, and LAN context — the same model that feeds the Kalshi CS2 hub calls.
How do I use the spread?
Spread is the gap between GOS fair value and the Kalshi price for the model-favored side. Positive spread is the direction of the edge. +5% or more is worth a look. +8% or more is a clear edge. Under +3% the market is priced close to fair. A negative spread means the market is pricing the favorite higher than the model does. Always verify live prices on Kalshi before trading.
How current are the Kalshi prices?
Prices are logged at publish time. Kalshi moves in real time as people trade. The timestamp at the top of the page shows when this slate was last updated. Always check Kalshi directly before entering a position.
Is Kalshi legal in my state?
Kalshi is a CFTC-designated contract market and is available in all 50 US states. No state restrictions. Use code SKILL at sign-up for a new-trader bonus.
Game of Skill publishes MARKET scorecards before every major CS2 slate. The scorecard combines GOS fair value probabilities with live Kalshi prices to surface the biggest pricing gaps in real time.
For player-level ratings see the CARNAGE page. For the full Kalshi picks track record see the Kalshi CS2 hub. For prediction market education see the prediction markets explainer.