This week’s projected player stats from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Projected from Kalshi prices this week. Share is his part of the team total. Tap a player for his prices.
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Kalshi$25 trade $25Claim
Polymarket$25 $10 depositClaim
Underdog$50 play $10Claim
Chalkboard$100 + free pickClaim
Novig$50 $10 depositClaim
ProphetX$75 trade $50Claim
Betr$200 no-sweatClaim
Rebet100% up to $100ClaimQuestions
How is the projection worked out?
Kalshi prices each step of a player’s stats: 1+ catch, 2+, 3+ and so on. Each price is the chance he gets there. Add the prices up and you get the average number of catches the market is pricing. Example: 99¢ for 1+, 92¢ for 2+, 82¢ for 3+, 71¢ for 4+, 54¢ for 5+, 38¢ for 6+, 24¢ for 7+, 14¢ for 8+ and 7¢ for 9+ add up to 4.8 catches. Yards work the same way, with each price counting for the yards between its step and the next.
How is share of team counted?
His projection divided by the total for every teammate Kalshi lists. Players with no Kalshi market, usually deep backups, aren’t counted, so shares lean slightly high.
Why isn’t every game here?
Kalshi opens player props a day or two before each game. Thursday’s game shows early in the week; Sunday’s games fill in through Saturday.
How often does it update?
Every five minutes, from live prices. Changes compare with Kalshi’s prices from the day before.
How does the Polymarket comparison work?
Polymarket lists one market per player, like Mitchell over 24.5 points. Kalshi lists steps (20+, 25+, 30+), so we work out Kalshi’s price for the same result from its steps on either side, then show both. When Polymarket is 4¢ or more cheaper for the same result, it shows under Cheaper on Polymarket.
Prices: Kalshi and Polymarket player props. Projections and shares are Game of Skill’s math on Kalshi’s prices.
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