PGA Rounds: Make the Cut and Round Leader Prediction Market Prices

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The cut and round leaders, priced on Polymarket and Kalshi.

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How to read it

  • One tab per market, in the order they settle: round 1 leader, the cut, then the round 2 and round 3 leaders. Each tab drops off once its market settles.
  • On the bubble shows players priced 35¢ to 65¢ to make the cut, where a few holes swing the price most.
  • Round leader boards are flat. One round is close to a coin toss, so even the favorite is usually under 10¢.
  • Lower is better. When both apps list a player, the cheaper one is marked and the Buy button goes there.

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FAQ

What is PGA ROUNDS?

This week's make-the-cut and round-leader markets on Polymarket and Kalshi: the price to buy each player to make the weekend, and to lead after round 1, 2 or 3, with the cheaper app marked.

How does the cut work?

At most PGA Tour events the top 65 and ties after round 2 play the weekend. Majors and some invitationals use different numbers, and a few events have no cut. A player who withdraws before the cut usually settles No. Each app's market rules have the final word.

What happens if players tie for the lead after a round?

Each app's rules decide. A shared lead often pays a reduced share rather than the full $1, so a 5¢ contract on a player who ties can pay less than you expect. Check the rules on the market before you trade.

When do these markets open and close?

They usually open early in the tournament week. The round 1 leader market closes when round 1 ends on Thursday, the cut market after round 2 on Friday, and the round 2 and 3 leader markets after those rounds.

Where can I trade these markets?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, available in most states, and lists round-leader markets for most PGA Tour events. Polymarket is available to US traders through polymarket.us. Both are partners, so code SKILL applies at sign-up. Nothing here is a recommendation.

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18+ only. Trading is risky and 100% loss can occur. Offers have limits and are not available in all jurisdictions. Prices move, and this is not advice.