NFL Role Movers: Whose Workload the Market Is Raising This Week

Whose workload the market raised or cut, today or since the markets opened.

Projected workload from Kalshi prices, today vs yesterday. Tap a player for his prices.

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Questions

What is a role change?

A player whose projected catches, carries or yards changed most since yesterday, or since his markets opened, based on Kalshi’s prices. Big moves usually follow injury news, a depth chart change or a coaching comment.

How is the projection worked out?

Kalshi prices each step of a player’s stats: 1+ catch, 2+, 3+ and so on. Each price is the chance he gets there. Add the prices up and you get the average number of catches the market is pricing. Example: 99¢ for 1+, 92¢ for 2+, 82¢ for 3+, 71¢ for 4+, 54¢ for 5+, 38¢ for 6+, 24¢ for 7+, 14¢ for 8+ and 7¢ for 9+ add up to 4.8 catches. Yards work the same way, with each price counting for the yards between its step and the next.

What does New mean?

His Kalshi markets opened today, so there are no prices from yesterday to compare with yet.

Why isn’t every game here?

Kalshi opens player props a day or two before each game, so Sunday’s games fill in through Saturday.

Prices: Kalshi and Polymarket player props. Projections and shares are Game of Skill’s math on Kalshi’s prices.