NFL Power Rankings: market ratings for every team

Every NFL team, ranked by pre-game prices and adjusted for opponents.

Market power rankings

NFLiEach team’s average pre-game win price on Kalshi, adjusted for how strong its opponents were, on a 0 to 100 scale where 50 is average. Pick a window to rate teams on that stretch only; Movers sorts by the change.
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How the rankings work

Every rating comes from prices, not opinions: each team’s average pre-game win price on Kalshi over this season, adjusted for how strong its opponents were. 50 is average; the best teams sit in the 70s and 80s.

Change is the move over the last 7 days. vs expected is wins minus the wins the prices added up to. Schedule is the average rating of the opponents faced, ranked toughest first.

FAQ

How are these NFL power rankings made?

From prices, not opinions. Each team's rating is its average pre-game win price on Kalshi this season, adjusted for how strong its opponents were, on a 0 to 100 scale where 50 is average.

When do the NFL rankings update?

After every game settles on Kalshi: Thursday night, through Sunday and after Monday night.

What does the weekly change mean?

How much a team's rating moved in the last 7 days, which in the NFL is usually one game.

What is wins vs expected?

A team's wins minus the wins its pre-game prices added up to. Above zero means it has beaten what the market expected.