Bulls vs Bucks Prediction and Preview: NBA, Oct 23
Bulls at Bucks, Friday, October 23: tip is 4:00 PM ET in Milwaukee.
Price: Bucks 52¢, Bulls 48¢ (Polymarket, as of Fri 7:48 AM ET)
Kalshi: Bucks 50¢, Bulls 50¢
Game total: 239.5 points (over 49¢, under 51¢)
2027 title price: Bulls 1¢, Bucks 1¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Who is favored in Bulls vs Bucks
The market barely separates them, with the Bucks at 52¢ and the Bulls at 48¢. Kalshi has the Bucks 2¢ cheaper at 50¢. Both apps sit side by side on NBA MARKET. The Bucks opened at 57¢, so the price has moved 5¢ away from them since. This season, the team favored at tip has won 12 of 16 games we have logged (75%).
Last time out
This week so far, and what the market expected going in.
The Bulls lost their only game this week, 135-92 at the Raptors on Wednesday as 21¢ underdogs on Polymarket. It went under the 238.5 total.
The Bucks lost their only game this week, 128-116 at the Wizards on Wednesday as 40¢ underdogs on Polymarket. It went over the 238.5 total.
How the key players did against their Polymarket props:
Bulls: Matas Buzelis went over 16.5 points and 5.5 rebounds on Wednesday. Norman Powell went over 2.5 rebounds but stayed under 19.5 points. Josh Giddey stayed under 14.5 points and 8.5 assists.
Bucks: Tyler Herro went over 20.5 points and 4.5 assists but stayed under 4.5 rebounds. Jaime Jaquez Jr. went over 12.5 points and 4.5 rebounds but stayed under 3.5 assists. Kyle Kuzma went over 3.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists on Wednesday.
Injury report: Bulls vs Bucks
As of Oct 23. Expect updates before tip.
Nicolas Claxton (Bulls): Out, hamstring
The rotations, by last season’s numbers
Last season’s regular-season numbers on this season’s rosters. Usage is the share of team possessions a player finished while on the floor.
Bulls
Josh Giddey: 32.1 min, 24.4% usage, 17.0 pts, 8.3 reb, 9.1 ast
Norman Powell: 29.6 min, 27.2% usage, 21.7 pts, 3.5 reb, 2.4 ast (new, was MIA)
Matas Buzelis: 29.2 min, 22.7% usage, 16.3 pts, 5.8 reb, 2.1 ast
Nic Claxton: 27.8 min, 17.7% usage, 11.7 pts, 6.9 reb, 3.7 ast (new, was BKN)
Tre Jones: 27.0 min, 19.2% usage, 14.1 pts, 3.1 reb, 5.4 ast
Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.: 33.2 min, 24.3% usage, 17.4 pts, 5.2 reb, 7.4 ast
Ryan Rollins: 32.1 min, 24.2% usage, 17.3 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.6 ast
Tyler Herro: 31.3 min, 24.7% usage, 20.5 pts, 4.8 reb, 4.1 ast (new, was MIA)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 28.3 min, 22.3% usage, 15.4 pts, 5.0 reb, 4.7 ast (new, was MIA)
A.J. Green: 29.1 min, 14.0% usage, 10.4 pts, 2.7 reb, 1.9 ast
What to watch
Powell is new and one of the Bulls’ top options. 27.2% usage in 29.6 minutes with MIA last season; Giddey is next at 24.4%.
Herro is new and one of the Bucks’ top options. 24.7% usage in 31.3 minutes with MIA last season; Porter Jr. is next at 24.3%.
Sexton’s shots are up for grabs. He used 26.2% of the Bulls’ possessions in 26.0 minutes before leaving for LAL.
Antetokounmpo’s shots are up for grabs. He used 37.0% of the Bucks’ possessions in 28.9 minutes before leaving for MIA.
Top rookies: Caleb Wilson, pick 4 (Bulls); Brayden Burries, pick 10 (Bucks).
Bulls vs Bucks FAQ
Who is favored in Bulls vs Bucks?
The Bucks, by 4¢ on Polymarket. NBA MARKET shows whether Kalshi has either side cheaper.
When and where is Bulls vs Bucks?
Friday, October 23, at 4:00 PM ET, in Milwaukee.
More NBA previews are up for tonight’s other games, and today’s board has every game across the four sports.
Kalshi gives new traders $25 when you trade $25, code SKILL. Claim it here.
Polymarket gives new users $25 on a $10 deposit, code SKILL. Claim it here.
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