Thunder vs Spurs Prediction and Preview: NBA, Oct 20
It’s the first day of the season, and we’re treated to an epic battle between OKC and San Antonio. The Spurs host the Thunder in San Antonio on Tuesday, October 20, at 9:30 PM ET.
Price: Spurs 56¢, Thunder 44¢ (Polymarket, as of Tue 8:21 AM ET)
Kalshi: Spurs 50¢, Thunder 50¢
Game total: 231.5 points (over 51¢, under 50¢)
2027 title price: Thunder 24¢, Spurs 23¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
More NBA previews are up for tonight’s other games, and today’s board has every game across the four sports.
What the price says
The Spurs are favored at 56¢, with the Thunder at 44¢. Kalshi has the Spurs 6¢ cheaper at 50¢. Both apps sit side by side on NBA MARKET.
Injury report
As of Tue 8:21 AM ET. Expect updates before tip.
Tobias Harris (Spurs): Out, left calf, expected back Oct 23
Thomas Sorber (Thunder): Out, right knee, expected back Oct 22
Nikola Topic (Thunder): Out, not specified back, expected back Oct 22
Otega Oweh (Thunder): Out, right achilles, expected back Jul 1
Jayden Quaintance (Spurs): Out, right knee, expected back Dec 3
The rotations, by last season’s numbers
Last season’s regular-season numbers on this season’s rosters. Usage is the share of team possessions a player finished while on the floor.
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 33.2 min, 33.3% usage, 31.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 6.6 ast
Jalen Williams: 28.4 min, 26.1% usage, 17.1 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.5 ast
Chet Holmgren: 28.9 min, 21.9% usage, 17.1 pts, 8.9 reb, 1.7 ast
Ajay Mitchell: 25.8 min, 21.8% usage, 13.6 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.6 ast
Cason Wallace: 26.6 min, 14.5% usage, 8.6 pts, 3.1 reb, 2.6 ast
Spurs
Victor Wembanyama: 29.2 min, 32.4% usage, 25.0 pts, 11.5 reb, 3.1 ast
De'Aaron Fox: 31.0 min, 24.9% usage, 18.6 pts, 3.8 reb, 6.2 ast
Stephon Castle: 30.0 min, 24.8% usage, 16.6 pts, 5.3 reb, 7.4 ast
Devin Vassell: 30.5 min, 18.0% usage, 13.9 pts, 4.0 reb, 2.5 ast
Julian Champagnie: 27.6 min, 15.2% usage, 11.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 1.5 ast
Out: Tobias Harris.
What To Watch For
Gilgeous-Alexander drives the Thunder. 33.3% usage in 33.2 minutes last season; Williams is next at 26.1%.
Chet Holmgren continues to get better and better, but this is obviously a brutal matchup against Wemby.
Wembanyama leads the Spurs. 32.4% usage in 29.2 minutes last season and dominant on both ends; Fox is next at 24.9%.
Tobias Harris is out. 27.7 minutes and 18.8% usage come off the floor.
FAQ
Is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing tonight?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was not on the injury report as of Tue 8:21 AM ET.
Is Victor Wembanyama playing tonight?
Victor Wembanyama was not on the injury report as of Tue 8:21 AM ET.
Who is favored in Thunder vs Spurs?
The Spurs. Polymarket has them at 56¢, which reads as about a 56% chance, and the price moves live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Thunder vs Spurs?
Tuesday, October 20, at 9:30 PM ET, in San Antonio.
Good luck!
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