Thunder vs Hawks NBA Preseason Prediction and Preview, Oct 12

The Thunder and Hawks meet in a preseason game on Monday, October 12, at 7:00 PM ET in Atlanta.

  • Price: Hawks 67¢, Thunder 33¢ (Polymarket, as of Sun 8:05 PM ET)

  • Kalshi: Hawks 65¢, Thunder 35¢

  • Live price and every move: NBA WIRE

What the price says

The Hawks are favored at 67¢, with the Thunder at 33¢. Kalshi has the Hawks 2¢ cheaper at 65.

Atlanta opened at 45¢, so the price has moved 22¢ toward them since.

Who will play, and for how long

Coaches spread minutes thin in preseason: a quarter or two for the starters, the rest to roster hopefuls.

Availability

As of Sun 8:05 PM ET. Expect updates before tip; in preseason, teams often rest healthy players without listing them.

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): Day-To-Day, rest, expected back Oct 13

  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks): Day-To-Day, rest, expected back Oct 12

  • Jaylin Williams (Thunder): Day-To-Day, heel, expected back Oct 13

  • Kenrich Williams (Thunder): Day-To-Day, rest, expected back Oct 13

  • Jalen Williams (Thunder): Day-To-Day, rest, expected back Oct 13

  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Day-To-Day, quadriceps, expected back Oct 13

  • Ajay Mitchell (Thunder): Day-To-Day, rest, expected back Oct 13

  • Mouhamed Gueye (Hawks): Day-To-Day, left foot, expected back Oct 21

  • Dorian Finney-Smith (Hawks): Day-To-Day, rest, expected back Oct 12

  • Henri Veesaar (Hawks): Out, right knee, expected back Jul 1

  • Keshon Gilbert (Hawks): Day-To-Day, left knee, expected back Oct 12

The rotations, by last season’s numbers

These are 2025-26 numbers on current rosters: a guide to who the regulars are, not to tonight’s minutes.

Thunder

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 33.2 min, 33.3% usage, 31.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 6.6 ast

  • Jalen Williams: 28.4 min, 26.1% usage, 17.1 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.5 ast

  • Chet Holmgren: 28.9 min, 21.9% usage, 17.1 pts, 8.9 reb, 1.7 ast

  • Ajay Mitchell: 25.8 min, 21.8% usage, 13.6 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.6 ast

  • Cason Wallace: 26.6 min, 14.5% usage, 8.6 pts, 3.1 reb, 2.6 ast

Hawks

  • Jalen Johnson: 35.2 min, 27.0% usage, 22.5 pts, 10.3 reb, 7.9 ast

  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 33.4 min, 23.9% usage, 20.8 pts, 3.4 reb, 3.7 ast

  • Dyson Daniels: 33.2 min, 16.0% usage, 11.9 pts, 6.8 reb, 5.9 ast

  • CJ McCollum: 28.8 min, 26.9% usage, 18.7 pts, 3.1 reb, 4.1 ast

  • Onyeka Okongwu: 31.0 min, 19.5% usage, 15.2 pts, 7.6 reb, 3.1 ast

Top rookies: Kingston Flemings, pick 8 (Hawks).

Track the game through tip on NBA WIRE, and check NBA MARKET for the better price.

More games on NBA predictions today. For every team’s price, see NBA prediction markets; for the season-long markets, NBA futures.

FAQ

Is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing tonight?

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is listed as day-to-day (rest) as of Sun 8:05 PM ET. Either way, expect a short night: he averaged 33.2 minutes last season, and preseason startersoften play half that.

Who is favored in Thunder vs Hawks?

The Hawks. Polymarket has them at 67¢, which reads as about a 67% chance, and the price moves live on NBA WIRE.

When and where is Thunder vs Hawks?

Monday, October 12, at 7:00 PM ET, in Atlanta.

Good luck!

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