Mavericks vs Pacers Prediction and Preview: NBA, Oct 23
Mavericks at Pacers, Friday, October 23: tip is 7:00 PM ET in Indiana.
Price: Pacers 68¢, Mavericks 32¢ (Polymarket, as of Fri 7:56 AM ET)
Kalshi: Pacers 68¢, Mavericks 32¢
Game total: 238.5 points (over 50¢, under 51¢)
2027 title price: Mavericks 1¢, Pacers 3¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Who is favored in Mavericks vs Pacers
Polymarket has the Pacers at 68¢ and the Mavericks at 32¢. Kalshi has the same price. Both apps sit side by side on NBA MARKET. This season, the team favored at tip has won 12 of 16 games we have logged (75%).
Recent form: Mavericks vs Pacers
This week so far, and what the market expected going in.
The Mavericks lost their only game this week, 128-110 at the Rockets on Wednesday as 22¢ underdogs on Polymarket. It went over the 233.5 total.
The Pacers won their only game this week, 123-120 at the Pelicans on Wednesday as 57¢ favorites on Polymarket. It went under the 245.5 total.
Against Polymarket’s player props in those games:
Mavericks: Cooper Flagg went over 20.5 points but stayed under 6.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists. P.J. Washington stayed under 13.5 points and 6.5 rebounds. Daniel Gafford stayed under 6.5 rebounds.
Pacers: Pascal Siakam went over 20.5 points and 6.5 rebounds but stayed under 3.5 assists. Andrew Nembhard went over 6.5 assists and 14.5 points on Wednesday. Aaron Nesmith stayed under 12.5 points and 3.5 rebounds.
Injury report: Mavericks vs Pacers
As of Oct 23. Expect updates before tip.
Aaron Nesmith (Pacers): Questionable, hamstring
Santi Aldama (Mavericks): Out, knee
T.J. McConnell (Pacers): Out, hamstring
Ben Sheppard (Pacers): Questionable, knee
The rotations, by last season’s numbers
Last season’s regular-season numbers on this season’s rosters. Usage is the share of team possessions a player finished while on the floor.
Mavericks
Cooper Flagg: 33.5 min, 26.9% usage, 21.0 pts, 6.7 reb, 4.5 ast
P.J. Washington: 31.0 min, 20.1% usage, 14.2 pts, 7.0 reb, 1.8 ast
Naji Marshall: 29.5 min, 20.5% usage, 15.2 pts, 4.7 reb, 3.3 ast
Max Christie: 29.1 min, 16.4% usage, 12.3 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.0 ast
Zaccharie Risacher: 22.4 min, 17.6% usage, 9.6 pts, 3.8 reb, 1.1 ast (new, was ATL)
Out: Santi Aldama.
Pacers
Pascal Siakam: 33.2 min, 30.1% usage, 24.0 pts, 6.6 reb, 3.8 ast
Andrew Nembhard: 31.3 min, 23.6% usage, 16.9 pts, 2.8 reb, 7.7 ast
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 31.5 min, 18.1% usage, 14.1 pts, 5.0 reb, 1.6 ast (new, was PHI)
Aaron Nesmith: 29.7 min, 19.8% usage, 13.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 1.9 ast
Jarace Walker: 25.7 min, 20.7% usage, 11.6 pts, 5.1 reb, 2.5 ast
Out: T.J. McConnell.
What to watch
Flagg drives the Mavericks. 26.9% usage in 33.5 minutes last season; Marshall is next at 20.5%.
Davis’ shots are up for grabs. He used 27.5% of the Mavericks’ possessions in 31.3 minutes before leaving for WAS.
Santi Aldama is out. 27.9 minutes and 20.2% usage come off the floor. Next up by usage: Flagg (26.9%, 33.5 min) and Marshall (20.5%, 29.5 min).
T.J. McConnell is out. 17.2 minutes and 23.2% usage come off the floor. Next up by usage: Siakam (30.1%, 33.2 min) and Toppin (24.8%, 17.7 min).
Top rookies: Morez Johnson Jr., pick 9 (Mavericks).
Mavericks vs Pacers FAQ
Who is favored in Mavericks vs Pacers?
The Pacers. Polymarket has them at 68¢, which reads as about a 68% chance, and the price moves live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Mavericks vs Pacers?
Friday, October 23, at 7:00 PM ET, in Indiana.
More NBA previews are up for tonight’s other games, and today’s board has every game across the four sports.
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