Heat vs Magic NBA Preseason Prediction and Preview, Oct 16

Preseason, Friday, October 16: the Heat take on the Magic in Orlando at 7:00 PM ET.

  • Price: Magic 58¢, Heat 42¢ (Polymarket, as of Fri 10:40 AM ET)

  • Kalshi: Magic 56¢, Heat 44¢

  • Live price and every move: NBA WIRE

For tonight’s other games, see NBA predictions; today’s board covers every sport.

What the price says

The market makes the Magic the favorite at 58¢; the Heat are 42¢. Kalshi has the Magic 2¢ cheaper at 56¢. NBA MARKET keeps both apps side by side.

Who will play, and for how long

Expect the regulars for a stint in each half at most. Late minutes go to rookies and camp invites.

Availability

As of Fri 10:40 AM ET. Expect updates before tip; in preseason, teams often rest healthy players without listing them.

  • Bam Adebayo (Heat): Day-To-Day, groin, expected back Oct 16

  • Anthony Black (Magic): Day-To-Day, right ankle, expected back Oct 16

  • Nikola Vucevic (Magic): Day-To-Day, rest, expected back Oct 16

  • Pelle Larsson (Heat): Day-To-Day, illness, expected back Oct 16

  • Dru Smith (Heat): Day-To-Day, right calf, expected back Oct 16

  • Jonathan Isaac (Magic): Day-To-Day, left knee, expected back Oct 16

  • Izaiyah Nelson (Magic): Out, left ankle, expected back Nov 1

  • Kylor Kelley (Heat): Day-To-Day, right calf, expected back Oct 16

The rotations, by last season’s numbers

These are 2025-26 numbers on current rosters: a guide to who the regulars are, not to tonight’s minutes.

Heat

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo: 28.9 min, 37.0% usage, 27.6 pts, 9.8 reb, 5.4 ast (new, was MIL)

  • Bam Adebayo: 32.4 min, 25.0% usage, 20.1 pts, 10.0 reb, 3.2 ast

  • Andrew Wiggins: 30.3 min, 19.7% usage, 15.4 pts, 4.8 reb, 2.7 ast

  • Davion Mitchell: 28.6 min, 13.7% usage, 9.3 pts, 2.7 reb, 6.5 ast

  • Tim Hardaway Jr.: 26.6 min, 18.5% usage, 13.5 pts, 2.6 reb, 1.4 ast (new, was DEN)

Magic

  • Paolo Banchero: 34.7 min, 27.6% usage, 22.2 pts, 8.4 reb, 5.2 ast

  • Desmond Bane: 33.6 min, 23.3% usage, 20.1 pts, 4.1 reb, 4.1 ast

  • Franz Wagner: 30.0 min, 27.0% usage, 20.6 pts, 5.2 reb, 3.3 ast

  • Anthony Black: 29.8 min, 22.2% usage, 15.0 pts, 3.8 reb, 3.7 ast

  • Jalen Suggs: 27.6 min, 22.9% usage, 13.8 pts, 3.9 reb, 5.5 ast

FAQ

Is Giannis Antetokounmpo playing tonight?

Giannis Antetokounmpo was not on the injury report as of Fri 10:40 AM ET.

Is Paolo Banchero playing tonight?

Paolo Banchero was not on the injury report as of Fri 10:40 AM ET.

Who is favored in Heat vs Magic?

The Magic are the shorter side, so a win on them pays less per contract than the Heat. Both prices sit at the top of this page and update live on NBA WIRE.

When and where is Heat vs Magic?

Friday, October 16, at 7:00 PM ET, in Orlando.

Good luck!

Kalshi gives new traders $25 when you trade $25, code SKILL. Claim it here.

Underdog: play $5, get $100, code SKILL. Claim it here.

Polymarket gives new users $25 on a $10 deposit, code SKILL. Claim it here.

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