Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction and Preview: NBA, Oct 23

Written By Scott Krones

Friday, October 23: the Grizzlies are in San Francisco to play the Warriors at 10:00 PM ET.

  • Price: Warriors 62¢, Grizzlies 38¢ (Polymarket, as of Fri 1:01 PM ET)

  • Kalshi: Warriors 61¢, Grizzlies 39¢

  • Game total: 236.5 points (over 51¢, under 50¢)

  • 2027 title price: Grizzlies 1¢, Warriors 2¢ (Polymarket US)

  • Live price and every move: NBA WIRE

More NBA previews are up for tonight’s other games, and today’s board has every game across all of our sports.

What the price says

The Warriors are favored at 62¢, with the Grizzlies at 38¢. Kalshi has the Warriors 1¢ cheaper at 61¢. Both apps sit side by side on NBA MARKET.

The Warriors opened at 72¢, so the price has moved 10¢ away from them since. This season, the team favored at tip has won 12 of 16 games we have logged (75%).

Last time out

The Grizzlies won their last matchup, 123-103 over the Jazz at home on Wednesday as 55¢ favorites on Polymarket. It went under the 242.5 total.

The Warriors lost their opener 127-105 at the Lakers on Wednesday as 33¢ underdogs on Polymarket. It went under the 233.5 total.

How the key players did against their Polymarket props:

Grizzlies: Ty Jerome went over 20.5 points and 3.5 rebounds but stayed under 6.5 assists. Cedric Coward went over 5.5 rebounds but stayed under 3.5 assists and 13.5 points. Jaylen Wells went over 10.5 points and 2.5 rebounds on Wednesday.

Warriors: Gui Santos went over 11.5 points but stayed under 5.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists. Stephen Curry stayed under 25.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists. Brandin Podziemski stayed under 3.5 assists, 14.5 points and 5.5 rebounds.

Injury report

As of Oct 23. Expect updates before tip.

  • Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors): Out, not with team

  • Jimmy Butler (Warriors): Out, knee

  • Cedric Coward (Grizzlies): Doubtful, wrist

  • Brandin Podziemski (Warriors): Questionable, back

  • Moses Moody (Warriors): Out, knee

Grizzlies vs Warriors player stats

Last season’s regular-season numbers on this season’s rosters. Usage is the share of team possessions a player finished while on the floor.

Grizzlies

  • Jerami Grant: 29.7 min, 23.8% usage, 18.6 pts, 3.5 reb, 2.1 ast (new, was POR)

  • Rayan Rupert: 31.0 min, 17.7% usage, 12.2 pts, 6.4 reb, 2.1 ast

  • Ty Jerome: 22.6 min, 32.7% usage, 19.7 pts, 2.8 reb, 5.7 ast

  • Cedric Coward: 25.8 min, 21.5% usage, 13.6 pts, 5.9 reb, 2.8 ast

  • Jaylen Wells: 26.4 min, 19.3% usage, 12.5 pts, 3.2 reb, 1.6 ast

Warriors

  • Stephen Curry: 30.9 min, 32.5% usage, 26.6 pts, 3.6 reb, 4.7 ast

  • Brandin Podziemski: 28.4 min, 20.1% usage, 13.8 pts, 5.1 reb, 3.7 ast

  • Draymond Green: 27.5 min, 16.1% usage, 8.4 pts, 5.5 reb, 5.5 ast

  • De'Anthony Melton: 23.0 min, 25.4% usage, 12.3 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.6 ast

  • Brandon Williams: 22.2 min, 25.1% usage, 13.0 pts, 2.9 reb, 3.9 ast (new, was DAL)

Out: Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody.

What to watch

  • Jerome has been amazing the Grizzlies. 32.7% usage in 22.6 minutes last season and tore it up in the season opener; Pippen Jr. is next at 26.1%.

  • Curry drives the Warriors. 32.5% usage in 30.9 minutes last season; Melton is next at 25.4%.

  • Morant’s shots are up for grabs. He used 32.5% of the Grizzlies’ possessions in 28.4 minutes before leaving for POR.

  • Jimmy Butler is out. 31.1 minutes and 23.3% usage come off the floor. Next up by usage: Curry (32.5%, 30.9 min) and Melton (25.4%, 23.0 min).

  • Kristaps Porzingis is out. 23.7 minutes and 28.3% usage come off the floor. Next up by usage: Curry (32.5%, 30.9 min) and Melton (25.4%, 23.0 min).

  • Moses Moody is out. 25.7 minutes and 18.3% usage come off the floor. Next up by usage: Curry (32.5%, 30.9 min) and Melton (25.4%, 23.0 min).

Top rookies: Cameron Boozer, pick 3 (Grizzlies); Yaxel Lendeborg, pick 11 (Warriors).

Grizzlies vs Warriors FAQ

Is Stephen Curry playing tonight?

Stephen Curry was not on the injury report as of Fri 1:01 PM ET.

Who is favored in Grizzlies vs Warriors?

The Warriors are the shorter side, so a win on them pays less per contract than the Grizzlies. Both prices sit at the top of this page and update live on NBA WIRE.

When and where is Grizzlies vs Warriors?

Friday, October 23, at 10:00 PM ET, in San Francisco.

Kalshi gives new traders $25 when you trade $25, code SKILL. Claim it here.

Polymarket gives new users $25 on a $10 deposit, code SKILL. Claim it here.

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Scott Krones
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