Bucks vs Wizards Prediction and Preview: NBA, Oct 21

The Wizards host the Bucks in Washington on Wednesday, October 21, at 7:00 PM ET.

Both teams are playing their first game of the season.

  • Price: Wizards 63¢, Bucks 37¢ (Polymarket, as of Wed 6:30 AM ET)

  • Kalshi: Wizards 62¢, Bucks 38¢

  • Game total: 238.5 points (over 52¢, under 49¢)

  • 2027 title price: Bucks 1¢, Wizards 1¢ (Polymarket US)

  • Live price and every move: NBA WIRE

Bucks vs Wizards prediction: what the price says

The Wizards are favored at 63¢, with the Bucks at 37¢. Kalshi has the Wizards 1¢ cheaper at 62¢. NBA MARKET keeps both apps side by side. That is down 4¢ from the Wizards’ opening price of 67¢.

Injury report

As of Wed 6:30 AM ET. Statuses can change up to tip.

  • Tristan Vukcevic (Wizards): Out, left hip, expected back Nov 2

  • Jamir Watkins (Wizards): Out, left knee, expected back Apr 2

  • AJ Dybantsa (Wizards): Out, left ankle, expected back Oct 23

  • Nate Ament (Bucks): Day-To-Day, left ankle, expected back Oct 21

The rotations, by last season’s numbers

2025-26 numbers, current rosters. Usage is the share of possessions a player finished with a shot, free throws or a turnover while on the floor.

Bucks

  • Kevin Porter Jr.: 33.2 min, 24.3% usage, 17.4 pts, 5.2 reb, 7.4 ast

  • Ryan Rollins: 32.1 min, 24.2% usage, 17.3 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.6 ast

  • Tyler Herro: 31.3 min, 24.7% usage, 20.5 pts, 4.8 reb, 4.1 ast (new, was MIA)

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 28.3 min, 22.3% usage, 15.4 pts, 5.0 reb, 4.7 ast (new, was MIA)

  • A.J. Green: 29.1 min, 14.0% usage, 10.4 pts, 2.7 reb, 1.9 ast

Wizards

  • Anthony Davis: 31.3 min, 27.5% usage, 20.4 pts, 11.1 reb, 2.8 ast (new, was DAL)

  • Julian Reese: 30.9 min, 17.7% usage, 11.8 pts, 10.5 reb, 1.8 ast

  • Kyshawn George: 29.0 min, 22.8% usage, 14.8 pts, 5.1 reb, 4.5 ast

  • Alexandre Sarr: 27.2 min, 25.7% usage, 16.3 pts, 7.4 reb, 2.7 ast

  • Leaky Black: 28.9 min, 11.6% usage, 7.1 pts, 5.0 reb, 1.5 ast

Out: Tristan Vukcevic, Jamir Watkins.

What to watch in Bucks vs Wizards

  • Herro is new and the Bucks’ top option. 24.7% usage in 31.3 minutes with MIA last season; Porter Jr. is next at 24.3%.

  • Davis is new and the Wizards’ top option. 27.5% usage in 31.3 minutes with DAL last season; Sarr is next at 25.7%.

  • Antetokounmpo’s shots are up for grabs. He used 37.0% of the Bucks’ possessions in 28.9 minutes a game before leaving for MIA.

Top rookies: Brayden Burries, pick 10 (Bucks); AJ Dybantsa, pick 1 (Wizards).

Questions about Bucks vs Wizards

Is Anthony Davis playing tonight?

Anthony Davis was not on the injury report as of Wed 6:30 AM ET.

Who will win, the Bucks or the Wizards?

The Wizards, by 26¢ on Polymarket. NBA MARKET shows whether Kalshi has either side cheaper.

When and where is Bucks vs Wizards?

Wednesday, October 21, at 7:00 PM ET, in Washington.

For tonight’s other games, see NBA predictions; today’s board covers every sport.

Kalshi gives new traders $25 when you trade $25, code SKILL. Claim it here.

Polymarket gives new users $25 on a $10 deposit, code SKILL. Claim it here.

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