Can you trade NBA prediction markets in the US?
Yes, on Kalshi and Polymarket US. Not on polymarket.com.
Where you can trade
| Kalshi | Polymarket US | polymarket.com | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open to US traders | Yes | Yes | No |
| Regulator | CFTC | CFTC | Not CFTC |
| NBA games | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| NBA champion and MVP | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Minimum age | 18 | 18 | 18 |
Two Polymarkets
- polymarket.com is the international site. US visitors see a notice that trading is blocked.
- Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated exchange run by QCX LLC, with its own listings and prices.
- Many sites quote polymarket.com prices because the data is public. Our NBA guides use Polymarket US prices, the ones US traders can actually get.
State by state
Both US exchanges are federally regulated, but some states argue sports contracts fall under state gaming law, and cases are ongoing. Each app checks your location and shows what you can trade. Sign-up offers can also vary by state.
Kalshi or Polymarket US
| Kalshi | Polymarket US | |
|---|---|---|
| Spurs, 2027 title | 22¢ | 21¢ |
| Wembanyama, MVP | 33¢ | 28¢ |
| Taker fee | 0.07 × price × (1 − price), max 1.75¢ | See Polymarket US fee schedule |
| New-user offer | $25 when you trade $25 | $50 on a $10 deposit |
Prices differ by a cent or more on most markets. NBA MARKET shows both side by side for every game, and the champion and MVP guides compare the futures.
Best NBA apps
FAQ
Can Americans trade NBA markets on Polymarket?
On Polymarket US, yes. polymarket.com blocks US residents.
Is Kalshi legal for NBA markets?
Kalshi is CFTC regulated and open to US traders. Some states are challenging sports contracts; the app shows what you can trade where you are.
How old do you have to be?
18 on Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Are prices the same on both apps?
No. On Sep 27 the MVP favorite was 28¢ on Polymarket US and 33¢ on Kalshi. Compare before trading.
More NBA guides
18+ only. Trading is risky and 100% loss can occur. Offers have limits and are not available in all jurisdictions. Prices move, and this is not advice.