The Mavericks are on the second night of a back-to-back. The Pacers visit the Mavericks on Monday, November 9, at 8:00 PM ET in Dallas.
Pacers and Mavericks this season
Pacers: 3-7 against 4.7 expected wins, 1.7 below what prices expected, 25th-toughest schedule (Expected, season to Nov 8, read 3:05 PM)
Mavericks: 5-4 against 3.3 expected wins, 1.7 above what prices expected, against the 3rd-toughest schedule (Expected, season to Nov 8, read 3:05 PM, before Sunday's game with the Nets)
Price: Mavericks 58¢, Pacers 42¢ (Polymarket, as of Sun 3:27 PM ET)
Kalshi: Mavericks 58¢, Pacers 42¢
Game total: 229.5 points (over 50¢, under 50¢)
2027 title price: Pacers 2¢, Mavericks 2¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Pacers vs Mavericks prices on Polymarket and Kalshi
The Mavericks are favored at 58¢, with the Pacers at 42¢. No gap between the apps: Kalshi is at 58¢ too. NBA MARKET shows which app is cheaper for every game tonight. The Mavericks opened at 44¢, so the price has moved 14¢ toward them since. The team favored at tip is 100-39 in our logged games, so upsets have come about 28% of the time. Watch the price live on NBA WIRE if it keeps moving.
Pacers and Mavericks key players
These are last season’s figures on this season’s rosters. Usage shows how much of the offense runs through a player while he plays. Wins vs expected shows whether either side has been beating the market.
Pacers
Pascal Siakam: 33.2 min, 30.1% usage, 24.0 pts, 6.6 reb, 3.8 ast
Andrew Nembhard: 31.3 min, 23.6% usage, 16.9 pts, 2.8 reb, 7.7 ast
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 31.5 min, 18.1% usage, 14.1 pts, 5.0 reb, 1.6 ast (new, was PHI)
Aaron Nesmith: 29.7 min, 19.8% usage, 13.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 1.9 ast
Jarace Walker: 25.7 min, 20.7% usage, 11.6 pts, 5.1 reb, 2.5 ast
Mavericks
Cooper Flagg: 33.5 min, 26.9% usage, 21.0 pts, 6.7 reb, 4.5 ast
P.J. Washington: 31.0 min, 20.1% usage, 14.2 pts, 7.0 reb, 1.8 ast
Naji Marshall: 29.5 min, 20.5% usage, 15.2 pts, 4.7 reb, 3.3 ast
Max Christie: 29.1 min, 16.4% usage, 12.3 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.0 ast
Santi Aldama: 27.9 min, 20.2% usage, 14.0 pts, 6.7 reb, 2.9 ast (new, was MEM)
Top rookies: Morez Johnson Jr., pick 9 (Mavericks).
How they come in
How each team has played this week, with Polymarket’s price before tip. NBA MARKET lines up every game’s Polymarket and Kalshi price, this one included.
The Pacers are 1-2 this week: a 108-104 home loss to the Hawks on Monday as 22¢ underdogs, a 107-103 win at the Grizzlies on Wednesday as 32¢ underdogs and a 114-102 home loss to the Nuggets on Saturday as 26¢ underdogs. All three went under the total. One of the wins came as underdogs. On the market they rate 42, 21st of 30, and they are 3-7 against 4.7 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 41 on average, an easier run than most.
The Mavericks are 1-2 this week: a 115-100 home loss to the Kings on Monday as 73¢ favorites, a 112-111 loss at the Spurs on Wednesday as 17¢ underdogs and a 112-100 home win over the Jazz on Friday as 70¢ favorites. All three went under the total. On the market they rate 43, 20th of 30, and they are 5-4 against 3.3 expected wins. Their next three opponents rate 42 on average, an easier run than most.
Injury report
As of Nov 8. Expect updates before tip.
Sergio de Larrea (Mavericks): Out, knee
Tarik Biberovic (Mavericks): Out, heel
Dereck Lively II (Mavericks): Out, foot
Questions about Pacers vs Mavericks
Who is favored in Pacers vs Mavericks?
On price, the Mavericks (58¢). The Pacers sit at 42¢, and both numbers update live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Pacers vs Mavericks?
Monday, November 9, at 8:00 PM ET, in Dallas.
Still deciding on the rest of the slate? NBA predictions covers each game, and today’s board has every sport.