Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction and Preview: NBA, Nov 9

The Rockets are 75¢ at home, 7-3 and 0.7 wins above what prices expected, against a 5-3 Nuggets team that has matched its prices. Tip is 8:30 PM ET on Monday, November 9 in Houston.

Nuggets and Rockets this season

  • Nuggets: 5-3 against 5.0 expected wins, right on what prices expected, 18th-toughest schedule (Expected, season to Nov 8, read 3:05 PM)

  • Rockets: 7-3 against 6.3 expected wins, 0.7 above what prices expected, 14th-toughest schedule (Expected, season to Nov 8, read 3:05 PM)

  • Price: Rockets 75¢, Nuggets 26¢ (Polymarket, as of Sun 9:38 PM ET)

  • Kalshi: Rockets 76¢, Nuggets 26¢

  • 2027 title price: Nuggets 3¢, Rockets 6¢ (Polymarket US)

  • Live price and every move: NBA WIRE

Who is favored in Nuggets vs Rockets

The Rockets are favored: 75¢ on Polymarket to the Nuggets’ 26¢, up from 63¢ at 3:32 PM ET, and 76¢ on Kalshi. Compare the two prices for Nuggets vs Rockets on NBA MARKET. Underdogs have taken 39 of 139 logged games this season.

Last time out

How both teams came out of their recent games, and what the market expected.

The Nuggets are 2-1 this week: a 118-110 home loss to the Trail Blazers on Monday as 61¢ favorites, a 128-109 home win over the Raptors on Wednesday as 63¢ favorites and a 114-102 win at the Pacers on Saturday as 74¢ favorites. One of the three went over the total. On the market they rate 61, 7th of 30, and they are 5-3 against 5.0 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 57 on average, a tougher run than most.

The Rockets are 1-2 this week: a 109-93 home win over the Celtics on Monday as 62¢ favorites, a 117-107 home loss to the Timberwolves on Wednesday as 70¢ favorites and a 102-99 loss at the Suns on Saturday as 71¢ favorites. One of the three went over the total. On the market they rate 65, 3rd of 30, and they are 7-3 against 6.3 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 55 on average, a tougher run than most.

How the main players did against their Polymarket props:

  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): over 6.5 assists in all 3

  • Kevin Durant (Rockets): under 22.5 points in all 3

  • Jabari Smith Jr. (Rockets): over 6.5 rebounds in all 3

Injury report: Nuggets vs Rockets

The report for this game isn’t out yet. The day-before list lands by 5 p.m. local time, and the game-day list the next morning; NBA WIRE shows each change as it posts.

The rotations, by last season’s numbers

Numbers from last season, following each player to his current team. Usage is how often a possession ends with him: a shot, free throws or a turnover.

Nuggets

  • Nikola Jokic: 34.8 min, 30.4% usage, 27.7 pts, 12.9 reb, 10.7 ast

  • Jamal Murray: 35.4 min, 27.9% usage, 25.4 pts, 4.4 reb, 7.1 ast

  • DeMar DeRozan: 31.2 min, 22.8% usage, 18.4 pts, 2.9 reb, 4.1 ast (new, was SAC)

  • Christian Braun: 31.8 min, 14.8% usage, 12.0 pts, 4.8 reb, 2.7 ast

  • Cameron Johnson: 30.5 min, 15.1% usage, 12.2 pts, 3.8 reb, 2.4 ast

Rockets

  • Kevin Durant: 36.4 min, 27.0% usage, 26.0 pts, 5.4 reb, 4.8 ast

  • Amen Thompson: 37.4 min, 20.0% usage, 18.3 pts, 7.8 reb, 5.3 ast

  • Alperen Sengun: 33.3 min, 26.6% usage, 20.4 pts, 8.9 reb, 6.2 ast

  • Jabari Smith Jr.: 35.1 min, 18.2% usage, 15.8 pts, 6.9 reb, 1.9 ast

  • Marcus Smart: 28.5 min, 15.4% usage, 9.3 pts, 2.8 reb, 3.0 ast (new, was LAL)

Nuggets vs Rockets FAQ

Is Nikola Jokic playing on Monday?

Nikola Jokic’s status: check the official report before tip. Watch the afternoon report: that is where a change would show first.

Is Kevin Durant playing on Monday?

Kevin Durant’s status: check the official report before tip. Until the Rockets say otherwise, that is the status to trade on.

Who is favored in Nuggets vs Rockets?

The Rockets, at 75¢ on Polymarket to the Nuggets’ 26¢. The price updates live on NBA WIRE.

When and where is Nuggets vs Rockets?

Monday, November 9, at 8:30 PM ET, in Houston.

Every other game tonight has a preview: NBA previews. The full slate across sports is on today’s board.

First Kalshi trade? $25 back when you trade $25, code SKILL. See the offer.

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