Update 7:43 AM ET: Kawhi Leonard is out (knee). Raptors 60¢ on Polymarket, 58¢ on Kalshi.
The Raptors are 58¢ at home on Polymarket, down 11¢ from the 69¢ open, against a Grizzlies team running 1.0 wins above what prices expected. Tip is 7:30 PM ET on Monday, November 9 in Toronto.
Grizzlies and Raptors this season
Grizzlies: 6-3 against 5.0 expected wins, 1.0 above what prices expected, 30th-toughest schedule (Expected, season to Nov 8, read 3:05 PM)
Raptors: 5-4 against 5.4 expected wins, 0.4 below what prices expected, 27th-toughest schedule (Expected, season to Nov 8, read 3:05 PM)
Price: Raptors 58¢, Grizzlies 42¢ (Polymarket, as of Sun 3:21 PM ET)
Kalshi: Raptors 57¢, Grizzlies 43¢
2027 title price: Grizzlies 1¢, Raptors 4¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Grizzlies vs Raptors prediction: what the price says
The market makes the Raptors the favorite at 58¢; the Grizzlies are 42¢. Kalshi has the Raptors 1¢ cheaper at 57¢. The Polymarket and Kalshi prices sit next to each other on NBA MARKET. That is down 11¢ from the Raptors’ opening price of 69¢. This season, the team favored at tip has won 100 of 139 games we have logged (72%). For Grizzlies’ results against the market so far, see Expected.
The rotations, by last season’s numbers
2025-26 numbers, current rosters. Usage is the share of possessions a player finished with a shot, free throws or a turnover while on the floor. Who picks up the shots when a starter sits is on NBA USAGE.
Grizzlies
Jerami Grant: 29.7 min, 23.8% usage, 18.6 pts, 3.5 reb, 2.1 ast (new, was POR)
Ty Jerome: 22.6 min, 32.7% usage, 19.7 pts, 2.8 reb, 5.7 ast
Cedric Coward: 25.8 min, 21.5% usage, 13.6 pts, 5.9 reb, 2.8 ast
Jaylen Wells: 26.4 min, 19.3% usage, 12.5 pts, 3.2 reb, 1.6 ast
Zach Edey: 25.8 min, 20.2% usage, 13.6 pts, 11.1 reb, 1.1 ast
Raptors
Kawhi Leonard: 32.1 min, 33.5% usage, 27.9 pts, 6.4 reb, 3.6 ast (new, was LAC)
Scottie Barnes: 33.5 min, 23.4% usage, 18.1 pts, 7.5 reb, 5.9 ast
RJ Barrett: 30.3 min, 25.8% usage, 19.3 pts, 5.3 reb, 3.3 ast
Immanuel Quickley: 31.9 min, 21.1% usage, 16.4 pts, 4.0 reb, 5.9 ast
Jakob Poeltl: 25.0 min, 15.3% usage, 10.7 pts, 7.0 reb, 2.0 ast
Top rookies: Cameron Boozer, pick 3 (Grizzlies).
Last time out
Recent games for each side, and what Polymarket priced them at before tip. Grizzlies’ price on both apps, updated through the day, is on NBA MARKET.
The Grizzlies are 0-3 this week: a 135-134 home loss to the Pelicans on Monday as 66¢ favorites, a 107-103 home loss to the Pacers on Wednesday as 68¢ favorites and a 128-97 home loss to the Thunder on Friday as 38¢ underdogs. Two of the three went over the total. On the market they rate 48, 17th of 30, and they are 6-3 against 5.0 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 58 on average, a tougher run than most.
The Raptors are 2-1 this week: a 125-118 win at the Clippers on Monday as 63¢ favorites, a 128-109 loss at the Nuggets on Wednesday as 37¢ underdogs and a 121-107 win at the Bucks on Friday as 60¢ favorites. Two of the three went over the total. On the market they rate 55, 12th of 30, and they are 5-4 against 5.4 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 57 on average, a tougher run than most.
How the starters did against their Polymarket numbers:
Ty Jerome (Grizzlies): under 5.5 assists in all 3
RJ Barrett (Raptors): over 22.5 points in all 3; under 4.5 assists in all 3
Scottie Barnes (Raptors): under 22.5 points in all 3
Injury report: Grizzlies vs Raptors
The report for this game isn’t out yet. The day-before list lands by 5 p.m. local time, and the game-day list the next morning; NBA WIRE shows each change as it posts.
Questions about Grizzlies vs Raptors
Is Kawhi Leonard playing on Monday?
Kawhi Leonard’s status: check the official report before tip. If that changes, the Raptors report will say so before tip, and Leonard’s 33.5% usage would have to go somewhere.
Who is favored in Grizzlies vs Raptors?
The Raptors. Polymarket has them at 58¢, which reads as about a 58% chance, and the price moves live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Grizzlies vs Raptors?
Monday, November 9, at 7:30 PM ET, in Toronto.
For tonight’s other games, see NBA predictions; today’s board covers every sport.
New to Polymarket? Deposit $10 and get $25 with code SKILL: claim it here.
Not sure which app fits? Our app comparison covers fees, offers and states.