PGL Astana Day 2 Cheat Sheet: May 10th, 2026

Sunday, May 10 brings day 2 of PGL Astana 2026 with another eight BO3 games across the same four time slots. IEM Atlanta gets rolling here in a few days too, with more of the top teams in the world there. It’s a busy time in CS2.

We saw some interesting results on day one, namely PARIVISION getting routed by 9z as huge favorites. Will we see more surprises on Sunday?

THE GAMES

Let's dive right in. Percentages are approximate win probabilities based on available odds.

K27 vs Gentle Mates, 1:00 AM ET

Closest matchup of the day. Gentle Mates the favorite at 57%, K27 at 43%. Gentle Mates have the more experienced roster led by MartinezSa, and they should be able to grind this one out, but K27 are capable of taking a map.

Pick: Gentle Mates > K27 2-1
Top Projection: MartinezSa

MOUZ vs G2, 1:00 AM ET

Tight on paper. G2 at 54%, MOUZ at 46%. The new MOUZ lineup got a game in yesterday. G2 have looked sharper recently with MATYS leading the way, but MOUZ's depth keeps this competitive.

Pick: G2 > MOUZ 2-1
Top Projection: Spinx

Aurora vs The Huns, 4:00 AM ET

Aurora are heavy favorites at 88%. The Huns struggled against Spirit and are unlikely to pose much of a threat against Aurora on Sunday.

Pick: Aurora > The Huns 2-0
Top Projection: XANTARES

MongolZ vs Spirit, 4:00 AM ET

Spirit favored at 66%, MongolZ at 34%. donk remains the highest-upside player in the world and Spirit are looking stronger and stronger, but MongolZ can keep things competitive here. They’re no slouches whatsoever.

Pick: Spirit > MongolZ 2-1
Top Projection: donk

FURIA vs HEROIC, 7:00 AM ET

FURIA at 66%, HEROIC at 34%. HEROIC just took down Aurora yesterday so they come in with momentum and confidence. FURIA still has the better individual ceiling but the form is shaky and the price tag on HEROIC looks appealing.

Pick: HEROIC > FURIA 2-1
Top Projection: molodoy

PARIVISION vs Fisher College, 7:00 AM ET

Despite a rough showing in a loss to 9z, PARIVISION are the steepest favorite of the slate at 92%. Fisher College are a collegiate team and brought a stand-in to Astana. This should be a quick one for Jame and company.

Pick: PARIVISION > Fisher College 2-0
Top Projection: zweih

Falcons vs 9z Team, 10:00 AM ET

Falcons at 85%, 9z at 15%. m0NESY, kyousuke and NiKo lead one of the most stacked rosters in CS2. The team looked pretty formidable during day one’s sweep, which was karrigan’s debut as in-game leader.. 9z are unlikely to have the firepower to keep up over a best-of-three series.

Pick: Falcons > 9z 2-0
Top Projection: m0NESY

Monte vs Magic, 10:00 AM ET

Closer than some expect at 60/40. Monte have the higher ceiling and have been performing well at recent events, though they were dismantled by FURIA in the opener. Magic are capable of taking a map, but will be backing Monte.

Pick: Monte > Magic 2-1
Top Projection: Rainwaker

Win probabilities are approximate and subject to change. Always check current numbers before locking decisions.

For player-level ratings check CARNAGE over the coming days. For game-level fair values see MARKET.

Good luck!