Jahmyr Gibbs is 77¢ on Kalshi to score a touchdown against the Dolphins on Sunday, the highest anytime touchdown price of NFL Week 9 (as of Sat 4:39 PM ET). These NFL Week 9 touchdown predictions come straight from Kalshi's player markets: anytime, first touchdown and two-or-more prices for all 14 games, the biggest moves since Friday's close, and the players who have scored more often than their prices said.
Highest anytime price: Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions) 77¢ vs Dolphins
Highest first touchdown price: Christian McCaffrey (49ers) 23¢ vs Raiders
Biggest move: Alvin Kamara (Saints) up 14¢ to 37¢ vs Browns
Week 9 anytime touchdown prices: the top 10
Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions) vs Dolphins: 77¢
Christian McCaffrey (49ers) vs Raiders: 74¢
Bijan Robinson (Falcons) vs Bengals: 69¢
Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs) vs Jets: 68¢
Javonte Williams (Cowboys) vs Colts: 65¢
D'Andre Swift (Bears) vs Buccaneers: 62¢
Chase Brown (Bengals) vs Falcons: 59¢
Kyren Williams (Rams) vs Commanders: 59¢
Jonathan Taylor (Colts) vs Cowboys: 57¢
George Kittle (49ers) vs Raiders: 55¢
Nine of the ten are running backs. Kittle is the top tight end, ahead of Brock Bowers (43¢) and Travis Kelce (37¢). Puka Nacua and Jaxon Smith-Njigba lead the wide receivers at 54¢, with Ja'Marr Chase and CeeDee Lamb at 52¢. Josh Allen is 53¢ for Monday night against the Vikings, the only quarterback above 30¢. Every price, with filters by game and position, is on NFL TOUCHDOWNS.
Two or more touchdowns
Gibbs is also the likeliest multi-touchdown player at 39¢ for two or more, followed by McCaffrey at 35¢, Robinson at 30¢, Walker at 29¢ and Javonte Williams at 26¢. D'Andre Swift is next at 24¢.
First touchdown prices, Week 9
The first touchdown market pays only if the player scores his game's opening touchdown, so even the favorites sit well below their anytime prices:
Christian McCaffrey (49ers) vs Raiders: 23¢
Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs) vs Jets: 22¢
Bijan Robinson (Falcons) vs Bengals: 20¢
Javonte Williams (Cowboys) vs Colts: 18¢
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks) vs Cardinals: 17¢
Chase Brown (Bengals) vs Falcons: 16¢
Many first touchdown markets on Kalshi have barely traded. We left out prices that sit above the same player's anytime price, and players on our injury list as out, because those numbers can't be right as listed.
Biggest moves since Friday's close
Alvin Kamara's anytime price jumped 14¢ to 37¢ for Browns vs Saints after New Orleans released running back Kendre Miller, the largest move on the slate. Christian Watson is up 10¢ to 35¢ for Packers vs Patriots. Jonah Coleman (Broncos, 47¢) and Rachaad White (Commanders, 41¢) are each up 3¢. Inactives come out 90 minutes before kickoff, about 11:30 AM ET for the 1:00 PM games, and that is when these prices tend to move again.
Who has beaten their touchdown prices this season
Our season record compares how often each player scored with what his anytime prices added up to before each game (seven or eight games each, so a small sample):
Mike Gesicki (Bengals): scored in 6 of 7 games, priced for 1.5; 30¢ vs Falcons
Stefon Diggs (Commanders): scored in 4 games, priced for 1.0; 31¢ vs Rams
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks): scored in 6 of 8, priced for 3.6; 54¢ vs Cardinals
Josh Allen (Bills): scored in 6 of 7, priced for 3.7; 53¢ vs Vikings
The other way: Chase Brown has scored in one game against the 3.6 his prices pointed to, and Bijan Robinson in 3 against 4.9. Both are still priced in the top seven this week.
Game by game: the two highest anytime prices
Bengals vs Falcons: Bijan Robinson 69¢, Chase Brown 59¢
Browns vs Saints: Quinshon Judkins 46¢, Alvin Kamara 37¢
Cowboys vs Colts: Javonte Williams 65¢, Jonathan Taylor 57¢
Broncos vs Panthers: Chuba Hubbard 50¢, Jonah Coleman 47¢
Lions vs Dolphins: Jahmyr Gibbs 77¢, Amon-Ra St. Brown 51¢ (questionable, ribs)
Rams vs Commanders: Kyren Williams 59¢, Puka Nacua 54¢
Giants vs Eagles: Devin Singletary 46¢, Saquon Barkley 43¢
Jets vs Chiefs: Kenneth Walker III 68¢, Rashee Rice 41¢
Texans vs Chargers: Woody Marks 45¢, Nico Collins 37¢
Cardinals vs Seahawks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 54¢, Zach Charbonnet 41¢
Packers vs Patriots: Josh Jacobs 51¢, Rhamondre Stevenson 50¢
Raiders vs 49ers: Christian McCaffrey 74¢, George Kittle 55¢
Buccaneers vs Bears: D'Andre Swift 62¢, Bucky Irving 47¢
Bills vs Vikings (Monday): Josh Allen 53¢, James Cook III 50¢
For each player's share of his team's receiving and rushing in Kalshi's player markets, see NFL USAGE; fantasy numbers built from the same markets are on NFL FANTASY. Every Week 9 game preview is on NFL predictions.
Questions about Week 9 touchdown prices
Who is most likely to score a touchdown in NFL Week 9?
Jahmyr Gibbs, at 77¢ on Kalshi against the Dolphins, then Christian McCaffrey at 74¢ against the Raiders (as of Sat 4:39 PM ET).
Who is favored to score the first touchdown in Week 9?
Christian McCaffrey at 23¢ for Raiders vs 49ers, then Kenneth Walker III at 22¢ against the Jets.
When do touchdown prices change most?
After injury news and when inactives come out, about 90 minutes before each kickoff.
Prices move, and this is not advice.