Two 6-1 teams meet in Minnesota, and the Vikings are 38¢ at home even though they sit 2.1 wins above what prices expected, the most in the league; the Bills are 63¢ on Polymarket. This Bills vs Vikings prediction preview covers the price, form and injury report for Monday Night Football, November 9, 8:15 PM ET; every game this week is on NFL predictions.
What the numbers say right now
Bills: 6-1 against 4.4 expected wins, 1.6 above what prices expected, 5th-toughest schedule; 5-1 on overs, average total 51.3 (Expected, season through Nov 5)
Bills: Kincaid holds 29%, Shakir 27% and Coleman 20% of the 145 receiving yards Kalshi's player markets list for the Bills (NFL USAGE, Nov 6 4:34 PM)
Vikings: 6-1 against 3.9 expected wins, 2.1 above what prices expected, the most in the league; 1-4 on overs, average total 43.1 (Expected, season through Nov 5)
Vikings: Jefferson holds 43% of the 179 receiving yards Kalshi's player markets list for the Vikings, Hockenson and Addison 24% each (NFL USAGE, Nov 6 4:34 PM)
Price: Bills 63¢, Vikings 38¢ (Polymarket, as of Fri 5:45 PM ET)
Kalshi: Bills 62¢, Vikings 38¢
Live price and every move: NFL WIRE
What the price says
Polymarket has the Bills at 63¢. The Vikings are 38¢. Kalshi has the Bills 1¢ cheaper at 62¢. The Polymarket and Kalshi prices for Bills vs Vikings sit next to each other on NFL MARKET.
Market ratings: Bills 68 (3rd of 32), Vikings 52 (16th) on NFL power rankings.
Player numbers: Dawson Knox has finished below his Kalshi receiving yards number in 5 of 6 games over the last 9 weeks; Jauan Jennings has finished below his Kalshi receiving yards number in 4 of 5 games over the last 9 weeks. Every player: NFL Props.
Injury report
As of Fri 5:45 PM ET. Expect updates before kickoff.
Kyler Murray (Vikings): Questionable, hamstring, expected back Nov 9
DJ Moore (Bills): Questionable, shoulder, expected back Nov 9
Keon Coleman (Bills): Questionable, shoulder, expected back Nov 9
Jauan Jennings (Vikings): Questionable, calf, expected back Nov 9
Joshua Palmer (Bills): Questionable, right hamstring, expected back Nov 9
Demond Claiborne (Vikings): Questionable, knee, expected back Nov 9
Isaiah Rodgers (Vikings): Questionable, ankle, expected back Nov 9
Jordan Hancock (Bills): Injured Reserve, hamstring, expected back Nov 9
Dion Dawkins (Bills): Questionable, ribs, expected back Nov 9
Alec Anderson (Bills): Questionable, ankle, expected back Nov 9
Spencer Brown (Bills): Questionable, back, expected back Nov 9
Christian Darrisaw (Vikings): Questionable, shoulder, expected back Nov 9
Player and trader markets
Touchdowns: Josh Allen 53¢, James Cook III 50¢, Justin Jefferson 37¢ to score anytime, on Kalshi. Allen has 6 touchdowns this season, priced for 3.7. More on Touchdowns.
Before kickoff
Final injury report: Saturday, with game statuses (out, doubtful, questionable).
Inactives: 6:45 PM ET, 90 minutes before kickoff.
Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET.
Follow every move on NFL WIRE.
FAQ
Who is favored in Bills vs Vikings?
The Bills at 63¢, against 38¢ for the Vikings on Polymarket (Fri 5:45 PM ET).
When is Bills vs Vikings?
Monday, November 9, at 8:15 PM ET in Minnesota.
When is the final injury report?
For this game, the last report with game statuses comes out Saturday; inactive players are named 90 minutes before kickoff.
Prices move constantly and are not advice.
Polymarket gives new users $25 on a $10 deposit (code SKILL, details).