Kristaps Porzingis and Jimmy Butler III are both out for the Warriors, who are 8-3 and 2.4 wins above what prices expected, yet 32¢ in Houston on Polymarket. The Rockets host the Warriors on Wednesday, November 11, at 9:30 PM ET.
Warriors and Rockets this season
Warriors: 8-3 against 5.6 expected wins, 2.4 above, second-most in the NBA; 18th-toughest schedule (Expected, season through Nov 10)
Rockets: 8-3 against 6.9 expected wins, 1.1 above, with the 8th-toughest schedule (Expected, season through Nov 10)
Price: Rockets 68¢, Warriors 32¢ (Polymarket, as of Wed 5:35 AM ET)
Kalshi: Rockets 67¢, Warriors 34¢
Game total: 222.5 points (over 49¢, under 52¢)
2027 title price: Warriors 5¢, Rockets 6¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
What the price says
Polymarket has the Rockets at 68¢ and the Warriors at 32¢. Kalshi has the Rockets 1¢ cheaper at 67¢. The Polymarket and Kalshi prices sit next to each other on NBA MARKET. Underdogs have won about 26% of the 160 games logged so far, 42 in all.
Warriors vs Rockets player numbers on Kalshi
From Kalshi’s player props as of Wed 5:35 AM ET. Each number is the midpoint Kalshi’s prices imply, with a likely range from the 70% mark to the 30% mark.
Stephen Curry (Warriors): 25.8 points (likely 23 to 33), 4.1 rebounds, 4.7 assists
Yaxel Lendeborg (Warriors): 18.3 points (likely 16 to 23), 6.8 rebounds, 4.4 assists
Brandin Podziemski (Warriors): 15.4 points (likely 12 to 19), 4.8 rebounds, 3.4 assists
De'Anthony Melton (Warriors): 8.9 points (likely 6 to 13), 3.5 rebounds, 2.3 assists
Georges Niang (Warriors): 7.0 points (likely 5 to 11), 1.5 rebounds, 1.4 assists
Kevin Durant (Rockets): 21.6 points (likely 19 to 27), 5.7 rebounds, 3.8 assists
Alperen Sengun (Rockets): 19.8 points (likely 17 to 24), 9.1 rebounds, 6.8 assists
Amen Thompson (Rockets): 15.6 points (likely 13 to 20), 7.2 rebounds, 3.5 assists
Jabari Smith Jr. (Rockets): 14.7 points (likely 12 to 19), 6.6 rebounds, 1.9 assists
Fred VanVleet (Rockets): 11.7 points (likely 9 to 16), 3.3 rebounds, 5.1 assists
Warriors and Rockets key players
Numbers from last season, following each player to his current team. Usage is how often a possession ends with him: a shot, free throws or a turnover.
Warriors
Stephen Curry: 30.9 min, 32.5% usage, 26.6 pts, 3.6 reb, 4.7 ast
Jimmy Butler: 31.1 min, 23.3% usage, 20.0 pts, 5.6 reb, 4.9 ast
Brandin Podziemski: 28.4 min, 20.1% usage, 13.8 pts, 5.1 reb, 3.7 ast
Draymond Green: 27.5 min, 16.1% usage, 8.4 pts, 5.5 reb, 5.5 ast
De'Anthony Melton: 23.0 min, 25.4% usage, 12.3 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.6 ast
Out: Gary Payton II, Will Richard, Brandon Williams, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody.
Rockets
Kevin Durant: 36.4 min, 27.0% usage, 26.0 pts, 5.4 reb, 4.8 ast
Amen Thompson: 37.4 min, 20.0% usage, 18.3 pts, 7.8 reb, 5.3 ast
Alperen Sengun: 33.3 min, 26.6% usage, 20.4 pts, 8.9 reb, 6.2 ast
Jabari Smith Jr.: 35.1 min, 18.2% usage, 15.8 pts, 6.9 reb, 1.9 ast
Marcus Smart: 28.5 min, 15.4% usage, 9.3 pts, 2.8 reb, 3.0 ast (new, was LAL)
Out: Clint Capela, Steven Adams.
Top rookies: Yaxel Lendeborg, pick 11 (Warriors).
Last time out
Each team’s week so far, next to where Polymarket had them before tip.
The Warriors are 3-0 this week: a 120-100 home win over the Heat on Thursday as 61¢ favorites, a 126-119 home win over the Magic on Saturday as 73¢ favorites and a 138-87 home win over the Pelicans on Monday as 81¢ favorites. Two of the three went over the total. The market rates them 51, only 16th of 30, and the next two opponents rate 70 on average.
The Rockets are 1-2 this week: a 117-107 home loss to the Timberwolves on Wednesday as 70¢ favorites, a 102-99 loss at the Suns on Saturday as 71¢ favorites and a 110-100 home win over the Nuggets on Monday as 64¢ favorites. One of the three went over the total. By price they are the 2nd of 30 team, rated 67, with 8-3 so far against 6.9 expected. Their next three opponents rate 42 on average, an easier run than most.
The key player props from those games:
Stephen Curry (Warriors): over 2.5 threes in all 3
Amen Thompson (Rockets): over 6.5 rebounds in all 3
Warriors vs Rockets injury report
As of Nov 11. Expect updates before tip.
Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors): Out, illness
Jimmy Butler III (Warriors): Out, knee
Brandon Williams (Warriors): Out, hamstring
Moses Moody (Warriors): Out, knee
Gary Payton II (Warriors): Out, knee
Steven Adams (Rockets): Out, calf
Will Richard (Warriors): Out, thumb
Clint Capela (Rockets): Out, ankle
Warriors vs Rockets FAQ
Is Stephen Curry playing tonight?
Stephen Curry was not on the injury report as of Wed 5:35 AM ET. The official report decides it; the Warriors update it through the day.
Is Kevin Durant playing tonight?
Kevin Durant was not on the injury report as of Wed 5:35 AM ET. Houston’s status for him can still change until the league’s game-day report settles it.
Who is favored in Warriors vs Rockets?
The Rockets. Polymarket has them at 68¢, which reads as about a 68% chance, and the price moves live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Warriors vs Rockets?
Wednesday, November 11, at 9:30 PM ET, in Houston.
More NBA predictions are up for tonight’s other games, and today’s board has every game across the four sports.