The Trail Blazers beat the Thunder 123-103 in Portland on Tuesday as 46¢ underdogs, and the rematch on the same floor has the Thunder at just 52¢ on Polymarket. Thunder at Trail Blazers tips Wednesday, November 11, at 10:00 PM ET.
Thunder and Trail Blazers this season
Thunder: 8-3 against 6.6 expected wins, 1.4 above; Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Wallace and Jaylin Williams are listed out on our injury list
Trail Blazers: 7-3 against 5.5 expected wins, 1.5 above; Vit Krejci, Ja Morant and Shaedon Sharpe are listed out on our injury list
Price: Thunder 52¢, Trail Blazers 48¢ (Polymarket, as of Wed 5:37 AM ET)
Kalshi: Thunder 52¢, Trail Blazers 48¢
Game total: 226.5 points (over 49¢, under 52¢)
2027 title price: Thunder 15¢, Trail Blazers 2¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Who is favored in Thunder vs Trail Blazers
Close to a coin flip: the Thunder are 52¢ and the Trail Blazers 48¢. Kalshi is level with Polymarket here. The Polymarket and Kalshi prices sit next to each other on NBA MARKET. The Thunder opened at 55¢, so the price has moved 3¢ away from them since. Across the 160 games logged so far, the side favored at tip won 118, or 74%.
Injury report
As of Nov 11. These can change right up to tip.
Ja Morant (Trail Blazers): Out, hamstring
Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers): Out, knee
Jaylin Williams (Thunder): Out, back
Jalen Williams (Thunder): Out, leg
Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Out, knee
Cason Wallace (Thunder): Out, shoulder
Vit Krejci (Trail Blazers): Out, leg
Thomas Sorber (Thunder): Out, knee
Tonight's Kalshi player numbers
From Kalshi’s player props as of Wed 5:37 AM ET. A player's number is the average result Kalshi’s prices point to; the likely range runs from about 70% to about 30%.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): 30.8 points (likely 29 to 38)
Ajay Mitchell (Thunder): 18.5 points (likely 16 to 23)
Jared McCain (Thunder): 12.6 points (likely 10 to 17)
Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder): 8.8 points (likely 5 to 13)
Kenrich Williams (Thunder): 8.0 points (likely 5 to 12)
Deni Avdija (Trail Blazers): 23.0 points (likely 20 to 29)
Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers): 20.7 points (likely 18 to 26)
Toumani Camara (Trail Blazers): 13.2 points (likely 11 to 18)
Donovan Clingan (Trail Blazers): 11.7 points (likely 9 to 16)
Jrue Holiday (Trail Blazers): 5.6 points
The rotations, by last season’s numbers
Last season’s regular-season numbers on this season’s rosters. Usage: of the possessions a player is on the floor for, the share that end with him.
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 33.2 min, 33.3% usage, 31.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 6.6 ast
Ajay Mitchell: 25.8 min, 21.8% usage, 13.6 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.6 ast
Isaiah Hartenstein: 24.2 min, 16.1% usage, 9.2 pts, 9.4 reb, 3.5 ast
Jared McCain: 18.0 min, 23.2% usage, 10.4 pts, 2.1 reb, 0.9 ast
Alex Caruso: 18.2 min, 15.7% usage, 6.2 pts, 2.8 reb, 2.0 ast
Out: Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams.
Trail Blazers
Deni Avdija: 33.3 min, 29.3% usage, 24.2 pts, 6.9 reb, 6.7 ast
Toumani Camara: 33.3 min, 16.3% usage, 13.4 pts, 5.1 reb, 2.5 ast
Jrue Holiday: 29.4 min, 23.5% usage, 16.3 pts, 4.6 reb, 6.1 ast
Scoot Henderson: 24.9 min, 25.0% usage, 14.2 pts, 2.7 reb, 3.7 ast
Donovan Clingan: 27.2 min, 16.9% usage, 12.1 pts, 11.6 reb, 2.1 ast
Out: Vit Krejci, Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe.
Recent form: Thunder vs Trail Blazers
How both teams came out of their recent games, and what the market expected.
The Thunder are 2-1 this week: a 128-97 win at the Grizzlies on Friday as 62¢ favorites, a 114-75 home win over the Wizards on Saturday as 82¢ favorites and a 123-103 loss at the Trail Blazers on Tuesday as 54¢ favorites. One of the three went over the total. Market ratings have them 5th of 30, at 64.
The Trail Blazers are 1-2 this week: a 124-118 loss at the Lakers on Friday as 42¢ underdogs, a 125-103 home loss to the Spurs on Saturday as 34¢ underdogs and a 123-103 home win over the Thunder on Tuesday as 46¢ underdogs. One of the three went over the total. One of the wins came as underdogs. Market ratings put them 11th of 30, at 57, and their next two opponents average 45.
Player numbers from those games, against their props:
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): under 32.5 points in all 3
Thunder vs Trail Blazers FAQ
Is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing tonight?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was not on the injury report as of Wed 5:37 AM ET. The league’s injury report, first filed by 5 p.m. local the night before, keeps updating through game day.
Who is favored in Thunder vs Trail Blazers?
The Thunder, priced at 52¢: the market gives them about a 52% chance, with the Trail Blazers at 48¢.
When and where is Thunder vs Trail Blazers?
Wednesday, November 11, at 10:00 PM ET, in Portland.
Every other game tonight has a preview: NBA previews. The full slate across sports is on today’s board.