Timberwolves vs Rockets prediction: the Rockets are 73¢ on both Polymarket and Kalshi (Tue 4:43 PM ET), up 10¢ from their 63¢ open, with Anthony Edwards listed as out for the Timberwolves. Houston is 7-1, 2.1 wins ahead of what prices expected. Tip is Wednesday, November 4, at 8:30 PM ET in Houston.
Timberwolves and Rockets this season
Rockets: 7-1 against 4.9 expected wins, 2.1 above (tied for 3rd-most of 30 teams), 12th-toughest schedule; 5-2 on overs, avg total 227.1 (Expected, season to Nov 3)
Timberwolves: 5-3 against 4.2 expected wins, 0.8 above (10th-most of 30 teams), 14th-toughest schedule; 4-4 on overs, avg total 232.1 (Expected, season to Nov 3)
Price: Rockets 73¢, Timberwolves 27¢ (Polymarket, as of Tue 4:43 PM ET)
Kalshi: Rockets 73¢, Timberwolves 28¢
Game total: 222.5 points (over 50¢, under 50¢)
2027 title price: Timberwolves 5¢, Rockets 8¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Timberwolves vs Rockets prices on Polymarket and Kalshi
At 73¢, the Rockets are clear favorites; the Timberwolves are 27¢. The two apps agree on this one. For the Kalshi side of this one, NBA MARKET lists both prices. The Rockets opened at 63¢, so the price has moved 10¢ toward them since. Favorites at tip are 74-33 this season (69%) across the games logged on our results page. NBA WIRE logs each move in this market as it happens.
Timberwolves vs Rockets injury report
As of Nov 3, from our injury list; neither team had filed its official Wednesday report as of 4:30 PM ET Tuesday. Expect updates before tip.
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves): listed as out, knee
Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves): listed as out, achilles
Steven Adams (Rockets): listed as out, calf
The rotations, by last season’s numbers
2025-26 regular-season numbers on today’s rosters. Usage measures how many possessions a player finishes while he’s on the court.
Timberwolves
LaMelo Ball: 28.0 min, 32.0% usage, 20.1 pts, 4.8 reb, 7.1 ast (new, was CHA)
Jaden McDaniels: 31.7 min, 18.5% usage, 14.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 2.7 ast
Rudy Gobert: 31.3 min, 12.9% usage, 10.9 pts, 11.5 reb, 1.7 ast
Ayo Dosunmu: 28.9 min, 19.0% usage, 14.4 pts, 4.2 reb, 3.5 ast
Cody Williams: 24.3 min, 16.0% usage, 8.8 pts, 3.0 reb, 2.0 ast (new, was UTA)
Listed as out: Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo.
Rockets
Kevin Durant: 36.4 min, 27.0% usage, 26.0 pts, 5.4 reb, 4.8 ast
Amen Thompson: 37.4 min, 20.0% usage, 18.3 pts, 7.8 reb, 5.3 ast
Alperen Sengun: 33.3 min, 26.6% usage, 20.4 pts, 8.9 reb, 6.2 ast
Jabari Smith Jr.: 35.1 min, 18.2% usage, 15.8 pts, 6.9 reb, 1.9 ast
Marcus Smart: 28.5 min, 15.4% usage, 9.3 pts, 2.8 reb, 3.0 ast (new, was LAL)
Listed as out: Steven Adams.
How they come in
How each team has played this week, with Polymarket’s price before tip.
The Timberwolves are 2-1 this week: a 127-101 home win over the Clippers on Friday as 70¢ favorites, a 121-111 loss at the Spurs on Saturday as 18¢ underdogs and a 112-100 home win over the Bucks on Monday as 78¢ favorites. Two of the three went over the total. On the market they rate 54, 14th of 30, and they are 5-3 against 4.2 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 51 on average, about an average run.
The Rockets are 2-0 this week: a 119-98 home win over the Thunder on Saturday as 56¢ favorites and a 109-93 home win over the Celtics on Monday as 62¢ favorites. Both went under the total. On the market they rate 66, 4th of 30, and they are 7-1 against 4.9 expected wins.
Player markets in those games (Polymarket prices):
LaMelo Ball (Timberwolves): finished above his 20.5 points number and below his 6.5 assists number in all 3
Questions about Timberwolves vs Rockets
Is Kevin Durant playing Wednesday?
Kevin Durant was not on our injury list as of Tue 4:43 PM ET, and the official Wednesday report was not yet filed. If that changes, the Rockets report will say so before tip, and Durant’s 27% usage would have to go somewhere.
Who is favored in Timberwolves vs Rockets?
The Rockets. Polymarket and Kalshi both have them at 73¢ (Tue 4:43 PM ET), which reads as about a 73% chance, and the price moves live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Timberwolves vs Rockets?
Wednesday, November 4, at 8:30 PM ET, in Houston.
Still deciding on the rest of the slate? NBA previews covers each game, and today’s board has every sport.