The Spurs are 81¢ on Polymarket against a Mavericks side running 1.5 wins above what prices expected, with Tobias Harris out for San Antonio. Mavericks at Spurs tips at 9:30 PM ET on Wednesday, November 4.
Mavericks and Spurs this season
Mavericks: 4-3 against 2.5 expected wins, 1.5 above (tied for 5th-most of 30 teams), 4th-toughest schedule; 2-5 on overs, avg total 231.8 (Expected, season to Nov 3)
Spurs: 5-2 against 5.5 expected wins, 0.5 below, 5th-easiest schedule; 2-5 on overs, avg total 230.1 (Expected, season to Nov 3)
Price: Spurs 81¢, Mavericks 19¢ (Polymarket, as of Tue 3:28 PM ET)
Kalshi: Spurs 81¢, Mavericks 20¢
Game total: 229.5 points (over 49¢, under 51¢)
2027 title price: Mavericks 1¢, Spurs 24¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Who is favored in Mavericks vs Spurs
The market leans hard toward the Spurs: 81¢ to 19¢. The two apps agree on this one. For the Kalshi side of this one, NBA MARKET lists both prices. Favorites at tip are 74-33 this season (69%) across the games logged on our results page.
Mavericks and Spurs key players
Numbers from last season, following each player to his current team. Usage is how often a possession ends with him: a shot, free throws or a turnover.
Mavericks
Cooper Flagg: 33.5 min, 26.9% usage, 21.0 pts, 6.7 reb, 4.5 ast
P.J. Washington: 31.0 min, 20.1% usage, 14.2 pts, 7.0 reb, 1.8 ast
Naji Marshall: 29.5 min, 20.5% usage, 15.2 pts, 4.7 reb, 3.3 ast
Max Christie: 29.1 min, 16.4% usage, 12.3 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.0 ast
Zaccharie Risacher: 22.4 min, 17.6% usage, 9.6 pts, 3.8 reb, 1.1 ast (new, was ATL)
Out: Santi Aldama.
Spurs
Victor Wembanyama: 29.2 min, 32.4% usage, 25.0 pts, 11.5 reb, 3.1 ast
De'Aaron Fox: 31.0 min, 24.9% usage, 18.6 pts, 3.8 reb, 6.2 ast
Stephon Castle: 30.0 min, 24.8% usage, 16.6 pts, 5.3 reb, 7.4 ast
Devin Vassell: 30.5 min, 18.0% usage, 13.9 pts, 4.0 reb, 2.5 ast
Julian Champagnie: 27.6 min, 15.2% usage, 11.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 1.5 ast
Out: Tobias Harris.
Top rookies: Morez Johnson Jr., pick 9 (Mavericks).
Recent form: Mavericks vs Spurs
This week’s results for both teams, with the pre-game Polymarket price.
The Mavericks lost their only game this week, 115-100 to the Kings at home on Monday as 73¢ favorites on Polymarket. It went under the 232.5 total.
The Spurs are 2-0 this week: a 121-111 home win over the Timberwolves on Saturday as 82¢ favorites and a 119-97 home win over the Jazz on Monday as 90¢ favorites. One of the two went over the total. On the market they rate 76, 1st of 30, and they are 5-2 against 5.5 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 32 on average, an easier run than most.
Injury report: Mavericks vs Spurs
As of Nov 3. Statuses can change up to tip.
Santi Aldama (Mavericks): Out, knee
Tobias Harris (Spurs): Out, calf
Sergio de Larrea (Mavericks): Out, knee
Tarik Biberovic (Mavericks): Out, heel
Dereck Lively II (Mavericks): Out, foot
Jayden Quaintance (Spurs): Out, knee
Mavericks vs Spurs FAQ
Is Victor Wembanyama playing tonight?
Victor Wembanyama was not on the injury report as of Tue 3:28 PM ET. Status can still change at shootaround, so the last report before tip is the one that counts.
Who will win, the Mavericks or the Spurs?
The Spurs, at 81¢ on Polymarket to the Mavericks’ 19¢. NBA MARKET shows whether Kalshi has either side cheaper.
When and where is Mavericks vs Spurs?
Wednesday, November 4, at 9:30 PM ET, in San Antonio.
Every other game tonight has a preview: NBA previews. The full slate across sports is on today’s board.