Lakers vs Kings Prediction for Nov 4: Price, Rest and Rotations

Keegan Murray is out, which changes how the Kings line up. Wednesday, November 4: the Lakers are in Sacramento to play the Kings at 10:00 PM ET.

Lakers and Kings this season

  • Lakers: 6-2 against 5.1 expected wins, 0.9 above (tied for 8th-most of 30 teams), 7th-easiest schedule; 5-3 on overs, avg total 232.9 (Expected, season to Nov 3)

  • Kings: 1-6 against 1.8 expected wins, 0.8 below (11th-furthest below of 30 teams), 15th-toughest schedule; 4-3 on overs, avg total 233.2 (Expected, season to Nov 3)

  • Price: Lakers 82¢, Kings 18¢ (Polymarket, as of Tue 3:23 PM ET)

  • Kalshi: Lakers 83¢, Kings 18¢

  • 2027 title price: Lakers 5¢, Kings 1¢ (Polymarket US)

  • Live price and every move: NBA WIRE

What the price says

At 82¢, the Lakers are clear favorites; the Kings are 18¢. Polymarket has the Lakers 1¢ cheaper; Kalshi is 83¢. NBA MARKET keeps Polymarket and Kalshi side by side for this game. That is up 10¢ from the Lakers’ opening price of 72¢. For context, favorites have won 69% of the games on our results page so far (74-33).

How they come in

Each team’s week so far, next to where Polymarket had them before tip.

The Lakers are 2-1 this week: a 112-95 loss at the Warriors on Friday as 57¢ favorites, a 131-125 home win over the Raptors on Sunday as 59¢ favorites and a 138-117 home win over the Heat on Monday as 55¢ favorites. Two of the three went over the total. On the market they rate 59, 8th of 30, and they are 6-2 against 5.1 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 37 on average, an easier run than most.

The Kings are 1-1 this week: a 136-105 loss at the Grizzlies on Saturday as 25¢ underdogs and a 115-100 win at the Mavericks on Monday as 27¢ underdogs. One of the two went over the total. One of the wins came as underdogs. On the market they rate 22, 30th of 30, and they are 1-6 against 1.8 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 67 on average, a tougher run than most.

The key player props from those games:

  • Luka Dončić (Lakers): over 33.5 points in all 3; over 2.5 threes in all 3

  • Austin Reaves (Lakers): over 23.5 points in all 3

Lakers vs Kings injury report

As of Nov 3. Expect updates before tip.

  • Keegan Murray (Kings): Out, ankle

  • Maxime Raynaud (Kings): Out, knee

  • Dylan Cardwell (Kings): Out, calf

  • Adou Thiero (Lakers): Out, knee

  • Ben Simmons (Kings): Out, achilles

The rotations, by last season’s numbers

Last season’s regular-season numbers on this season’s rosters. Usage is the share of team possessions a player finished while on the floor.

Lakers

  • Luka Doncic: 35.8 min, 38.1% usage, 33.5 pts, 7.7 reb, 8.3 ast

  • Austin Reaves: 34.5 min, 26.7% usage, 23.3 pts, 4.7 reb, 5.5 ast

  • Collin Sexton: 26.0 min, 26.2% usage, 17.5 pts, 2.9 reb, 2.5 ast (new, was CHI)

  • Quentin Grimes: 29.4 min, 19.0% usage, 13.4 pts, 3.6 reb, 3.3 ast (new, was PHI)

  • Jake LaRavia: 25.1 min, 14.4% usage, 8.2 pts, 4.0 reb, 1.8 ast

Kings

  • Zach LaVine: 31.4 min, 23.7% usage, 19.2 pts, 2.8 reb, 2.3 ast

  • Domantas Sabonis: 29.7 min, 23.1% usage, 15.8 pts, 11.4 reb, 4.1 ast

  • Daeqwon Plowden: 26.4 min, 16.4% usage, 10.8 pts, 3.0 reb, 1.3 ast

  • Nique Clifford: 25.1 min, 17.0% usage, 8.6 pts, 3.8 reb, 2.4 ast

  • Malik Monk: 22.0 min, 24.0% usage, 12.5 pts, 1.9 reb, 3.0 ast

Out: Dylan Cardwell, Maxime Raynaud, Keegan Murray.

Top rookies: Darius Acuff Jr., pick 7 (Kings).

Lakers vs Kings FAQ

Is Luka Doncic playing tonight?

Luka Doncic was not on the injury report as of Tue 3:23 PM ET. Status can still change at shootaround, so the last report before tip is the one that counts.

Who is favored in Lakers vs Kings?

The Lakers are the shorter side, so a win on them pays less per contract than the Kings. Both prices sit at the top of this page and update live on NBA WIRE.

When and where is Lakers vs Kings?

Wednesday, November 4, at 10:00 PM ET, in Sacramento.

More NBA previews are up for tonight’s other games, and today’s board has every game across the four sports.

Previous
Previous

Heat vs Clippers Prediction and Preview (Nov 4)

Next
Next

Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction and Preview: NBA, Nov 4