Mousesports opened at 58¢ for this BLAST Rivals playoff and have slipped to 53¢ on Polymarket, while Kalshi still has them at 55¢. Spirit vs MOUZ, best of three, Saturday 3:00 AM ET.
Price: MOUZ 53¢, Spirit 47¢ (as of Fri 8:19 AM ET)
Kalshi: MOUZ 55¢, Spirit 45¢
Top rated: Spinx (MOUZ), donk (Spirit)
Spirit vs MOUZ prediction: reading the price
MOUZ are only just favored at 53¢, close to a coin flip. That is 5 points lower than where MOUZ opened, at 58¢. Polymarket has MOUZ 2¢ cheaper; Kalshi is 55¢. CS2 WIRE logs each move in this market as it happens.
Both prices sit side by side on CS2 MARKET.
Map by map
Map 1: MOUZ 57¢, Spirit 43¢
MOUZ 2-0 (−1.5 maps): 31¢
Three maps (over 2.5): 49¢
Of MOUZ’s 53¢ to win, 31¢ is a 2-0 and 22¢ a 2-1, so the market leans toward a sweep.
The fives
Mousesports are Spinx, xelex and PR on rifles, torzsi on the AWP and xertioN calling.
Spirit are donk, tN1R and zont1x on rifles, sh1ro on the AWP and magixx calling. Every top team's five, with roles, is on LINEUPS.
How they’ve done against expectations
Market ratings: Spirit 71 (2nd of 19), MOUZ 67 (3rd) on CS2 power rankings, built from what traders paid before each series at top events. MOUZ have climbed 5 recently.
Spirit: 12–7 in all series over the last 90 days (power rankings count top events only), 1.7 wins below the 13.7 their pre-game prices expected.
MOUZ: 21–7 in all series over the last 90 days (power rankings count top events only), 3.6 wins above the 17.4 their pre-game prices expected.
Title market: Spirit 28¢ and MOUZ 32¢ to win BLAST Rivals Hong Kong on Polymarket. Every contender: CS2 futures.
Records here count only series that settled on Kalshi, so they can be shorter than event records. Full table on our CS2 Expected page.
Names to know
Watch donk, Spirit’s rifler: The most dominant player in CS2.
sh1ro (Spirit, AWPer): Among the top 30 in our player ratings; patient, and rarely caught out of position.
torzsi vs sh1ro: the AWP matchup; opening picks tend to decide tempo.
Questions about Spirit vs MOUZ
Who is favored in Spirit vs MOUZ?
MOUZ, at 53¢ on Polymarket against 47¢ for Spirit; Kalshi has MOUZ at 55¢.
When does Spirit vs MOUZ start?
Saturday, November 14, at 3:00 AM ET, best of three.
Prices move, and this is not advice.
Polymarket lists the most CS2 series: $25 on a $10 deposit, code SKILL. Claim it here.
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