BLAST Rivals Day 1 Cheat Sheet: Kalshi Edges (April 29)

Apr 28

Wednesday, April 29. Day 1 of BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 brings four BO3s.

The MARKET scorecard sees two underdog edges above +8% and two games priced close to fair on prediction market apps like Kalshi.

Let’s break it down!

Slate at a glance

11:00 AM ET · Vitality vs FUT · Pass (+1.9% Vitality)
1:30 PM ET · Astralis vs G2 · Pass (+0.8% Astralis)
4:00 PM ET · Natus Vincere vs FaZe · FaZe edge (+8.0%)
6:30 PM ET · FURIA vs GamerLegion · GamerLegion edge (+8.9%)

Vitality vs FUT

Kalshi 92¢, GOS fair 93.9%. Effectively a tie, no edge to play. ZywOo (CARNAGE 99) anchors the slate's top spot and Vitality is rolling. They are cementing themselves as one of the best teams in Counter-Strike histroy.

FUT's path to grabbing a map got much tougher when lauNX, one of the team’s standout players, was ruled out. The coach (coolio) will step in to fill the fifth spot, and that’s obviously a huge blow to the underdogs’ already slim chances.

Astralis vs G2

Coinflip. Kalshi has G2 at 53¢, GOS lands at 52.2%. The 0.8% difference is below the noise threshold and both sides are live. G2 has been looking promising since adding NertZ to the squad, while Astralis has similarly been performing well under the guidance of HooXi.

MATYS leads G2 with the highest CARNAGE in this game at 79. Staehr leads Astralis at CARNAGE 73 and 33.1 PROJ K. This game could swing either way and there is no real value either side for me.

Natus Vincere vs FaZe

Kalshi has Na'Vi at 80¢, GOS lands at 72%. The +8.0% edge belongs to FaZe, who will debut a new starting five. Na'Vi's profile is what you'd expect: makazze (CARNAGE 90) tops the favorite's lineup and the team is strong overall.

FaZe's roster carries more skill depth than 20¢ implies, with frozen leading the way. Twistzz will step into the in-game leader role in place of karrigan, with Neityu standing in as the fifth for the forseeeable future. No doubt a hard draw against Na'Vi, but FaZe is a talented wildcard and could show up better than expected.

FURIA vs GamerLegion

Biggest surface edge on the slate at +8.9%. Kalshi has FURIA at 74¢, GOS at 65.1%. KSCERATO is the slate's second-best player at CARNAGE 96. and of course FURIA wins this most of the time. They just don't win it as often as 74¢ suggests.

The price is what’s most interesting here. GamerLegion has some firepower in REZ and then a tight cluster of PR, hypeX and Tauson behind him. Snax is also one of the most well-respected IGLs in CS history. so it actually wouldn’t surprise me to see GL fight hard here.

Top Player Projections

1) ZywOo, Vitality

2) KSCERATO, FURIA

3) flameZ, Vitality

4) makazze, Natus Vincere

5) ropz, Vitality

6) MATYS, G2

7) w0nderful, Natus Vincere

8) molodoy, FURIA

For live Kalshi prices and edges on every game, the MARKET scorecard updates throughout the day.

For the full CARNAGE player table sorted by score, see the CARNAGE page. For the full Kalshi picks track record, see the Kalshi CS2 hub.

Good luck!

Scott Krones