Six NHL games on Sunday, Nov 8. The Lightning are the biggest favorite at 59¢; Golden Knights at Sabres is the closest game.
Below: who each market favors, where Kalshi and Polymarket differ, and how each team has done against its pre-game prices this season. Prices as of Saturday 10:21 AM ET; they move until puck drop, often on starting-goalie news.
Biggest move since yesterday: Ducks, 56¢ to 52¢ on Kalshi.
Game previews Sunday: Golden Knights vs Sabres, Panthers vs Bruins, Devils vs Maple Leafs.
Every game, by start time
Panthers at Bruins, 1:00 PM ET
The Bruins are favored: 57¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Panthers 8-7, 0.7 wins below; Bruins 11-5, 3.0 wins above.
Market ratings: the Panthers 54 (12th of 32), the Bruins 49 (19th). Last five: Panthers 4-1, Bruins 3-2.
Only $2,720 traded on Kalshi so far, so this price can still move a lot.
Golden Knights at Sabres, 3:30 PM ET
Close to even: Sabres 50¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Golden Knights 10-7, 0.2 wins above; Sabres 8-8, 0.4 wins below.
Market ratings: the Golden Knights 56 (6th of 32), the Sabres 53 (13th). Last five: Golden Knights 3-2, Sabres 4-1.
Only $680 traded on Kalshi so far, so this price can still move a lot.
Lightning at Jets, 6:00 PM ET
The Lightning are favored: 59¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Lightning 10-5, 0.8 wins above; Jets 6-11, 1.4 wins below.
Market ratings: the Lightning 60 (2nd of 32), the Jets 46 (25th). Last five: Lightning 3-2, Jets 2-3.
Only $183 traded on Kalshi so far, so this price can still move a lot.
Devils at Maple Leafs, 7:00 PM ET
The Devils are favored: 58¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. The apps are 3¢ apart, so it pays to check both.
Against prices this season: Devils 11-5, 2.2 wins above; Maple Leafs 7-8, 0.3 wins below. Market ratings: the Devils 56 (5th of 32), the Maple Leafs 48 (20th).
Last five: Devils 4-1, Maple Leafs 2-3. Only $530 traded on Kalshi so far, so this price can still move a lot.
Flyers at Flames, 7:00 PM ET
Close to even: Flames 49¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Flyers 4-13, 3.0 wins below; Flames 7-10, 0.2 wins above.
Market ratings: the Flyers 44 (27th of 32), the Flames 38 (31st). Last five: Flyers 1-4, Flames 2-3.
Only $317 traded on Kalshi so far, so this price can still move a lot.
Penguins at Ducks, 8:00 PM ET
Close to even: Ducks 52¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Penguins 4-11, 3.0 wins below; Ducks 9-8, 0.9 wins above.
Market ratings: the Penguins 49 (17th of 32), the Ducks 45 (26th). Last five: Penguins 1-4, Ducks 4-1.
Only $634 traded on Kalshi so far, so this price can still move a lot.
What moves these prices
Late moves usually follow starting-goalie news, which lands in the morning skate and about an hour before puck drop. Follow every game live on NHL WIRE, see each team’s full record against its prices on Expected, and every team’s market rating on NHL power rankings.
New to prediction markets? Compare the apps and their offers on best prediction market apps.
Questions
Who is favored in the NHL today?
The Lightning are the biggest favorite at 59¢ on Kalshi against the Jets. Golden Knights at Sabres is the closest game.
Where do these prices come from?
Kalshi and Polymarket, read at 10:21 AM ET.