Eleven NHL games on Thursday, Nov 5. The Lightning are the biggest favorite at 79¢; Bruins at Penguins is the closest game.
Below: who each market favors, where Kalshi and Polymarket differ, and how each team has done against its pre-game prices this season. Prices as of 7:26 AM ET; they move until puck drop, often on starting-goalie news.
Biggest move since yesterday: Canadiens, 52¢ to 47¢ on Kalshi.
Game previews tonight: Bruins vs Penguins and Stars vs Blue Jackets.
Every game, by start time
Bruins at Penguins, 7:00 PM ET
Close to even: Penguins 49¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Bruins 10-5, 2.6 wins above; Penguins 4-10, 2.5 wins below. Market ratings: the Bruins 49 (19th of 32), the Penguins 49 (18th). Last five: Bruins 3-2, Penguins 2-3.
Hurricanes at Islanders, 7:00 PM ET
The Hurricanes are favored: 63¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Hurricanes 12-4, 1.9 wins above; Islanders 7-6, 0.8 wins above. Market ratings: the Hurricanes 60 (2nd of 32), the Islanders 47 (22nd). Last five: Hurricanes 4-1, Islanders 2-3.
Blackhawks at Lightning, 7:00 PM ET
The Lightning are favored: 79¢ on Kalshi, 80¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Blackhawks 4-11, 1.6 wins below; Lightning 9-5, 0.6 wins above. Market ratings: the Blackhawks 40 (30th of 32), the Lightning 60 (3rd). Last five: Blackhawks 1-4, Lightning 2-3.
Stars at Blue Jackets, 7:00 PM ET
The Stars are favored: 55¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Stars 9-6, 0.4 wins above; Blue Jackets 6-7, 0.1 wins below. Market ratings: the Stars 58 (4th of 32), the Blue Jackets 50 (16th). Last five: Stars 3-2, Blue Jackets 3-2.
Flyers at Rangers, 7:00 PM ET
The Rangers are favored: 58¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Flyers 4-12, 2.6 wins below; Rangers 8-7, 0.4 wins above. Market ratings: the Flyers 44 (27th of 32), the Rangers 51 (14th). Last five: Flyers 1-4, Rangers 1-4.
Blues at Devils, 7:00 PM ET
The Devils are favored: 64¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Blues 7-8, 0.2 wins below; Devils 10-5, 1.8 wins above. Market ratings: the Blues 49 (17th of 32), the Devils 56 (6th). Last five: Blues 2-3, Devils 4-1.
Canucks at Jets, 7:00 PM ET
The Jets are favored: 65¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Canucks 2-14, 3.4 wins below; Jets 5-11, 1.8 wins below.
Market ratings: the Canucks 35 (32nd of 32), the Jets 45 (26th). Last five: Canucks 1-4, Jets 1-4.
Only $2,372 traded on Kalshi so far, so this price can still move a lot.
Golden Knights at Red Wings, 7:00 PM ET
The Golden Knights are favored: 58¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Golden Knights 9-7, 0.2 wins below; Red Wings 7-9, 0.9 wins below. Market ratings: the Golden Knights 56 (5th of 32), the Red Wings 47 (23rd). Last five: Golden Knights 2-3, Red Wings 3-2.
Ducks at Oilers, 8:00 PM ET
The Oilers are favored: 63¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Ducks 7-8, 0.3 wins below; Oilers 11-4, 2.7 wins above. Market ratings: the Ducks 45 (25th of 32), the Oilers 54 (12th). Last five: Ducks 3-2, Oilers 3-2.
Predators at Avalanche, 9:30 PM ET
The Avalanche are favored: 67¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Against prices this season: Predators 6-9, 0.5 wins below; Avalanche 8-7, 1.4 wins below. Market ratings: the Predators 46 (24th of 32), the Avalanche 62 (1st). Last five: Predators 3-2, Avalanche 3-2.
Mammoth at Canadiens
Close to even: Canadiens 47¢ on Kalshi. Against prices this season: Mammoth 10-6, 1.2 wins above; Canadiens 8-6, 0.3 wins above. Market ratings: the Mammoth 55 (9th of 32), the Canadiens 55 (8th). Last five: Mammoth 3-2, Canadiens 4-1.
How to read these prices
A price in cents is the market’s chance: 60¢ means about a 60% chance to win. Even a 60¢ favorite loses about four games in ten.
Late moves often follow starting-goalie news. Follow every game live on NHL WIRE, see each team’s full record against its prices on Expected, and every team’s market rating on NHL power rankings.
New to prediction markets? Compare the apps and their offers on best prediction market apps.
Questions
Who is favored in the NHL today?
The Lightning are the biggest favorite at 79¢ on Kalshi against the Blackhawks. Bruins at Penguins is the closest game.
Where do these prices come from?
Kalshi and Polymarket, read at 7:26 AM ET. Both are prediction markets where a share pays $1 if the team wins, so the price is the market’s chance.