The 6-1 Trail Blazers sit 1.8 wins above what prices expected, second only to the 76ers, yet the Spurs are 59¢ on Polymarket in Portland; Ja Morant and Shaedon Sharpe were out on Friday’s report. This Spurs vs Trail Blazers prediction preview covers the price, both rotations and the injury windows for Saturday, November 7, 10:00 PM ET. Every game is on NBA predictions.
Spurs and Trail Blazers this season
Trail Blazers: 6-1, 1.8 wins above what Kalshi's prices expected (4.2), second only to the 76ers in the league, against the 22nd-toughest schedule (Expected, season through Nov 5)
Spurs: 6-2, 0.3 wins below what Kalshi's prices expected (6.3, the highest expected-win total of any NBA team) against the 29th-toughest schedule (Expected, season through Nov 5)
Trail Blazers: with Ja Morant and Shaedon Sharpe out on Friday’s report, Avdija held 24% of Portland’s listed points on Kalshi and Lillard 21% (NBA USAGE, Nov 6)
Spurs: Victor Wembanyama held 26% of the Spurs’ listed points on Kalshi, Harper 16%, Fox 15% (NBA USAGE, Nov 6)
Price: Spurs 59¢, Trail Blazers 41¢ (Polymarket, as of Fri 6:14 PM ET)
Kalshi: Spurs 60¢, Trail Blazers 41¢
Game total: 227.5 points (over 50¢, under 50¢)
2027 title price: Spurs 23¢, Trail Blazers 3¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
What the price says
The Spurs are favored at 59¢, with the Trail Blazers at 41¢. Polymarket has the Spurs 1¢ cheaper; Kalshi is 60¢. NBA MARKET keeps Polymarket and Kalshi side by side for this game. That is up 3¢ from the Spurs’ opening price of 56¢. Underdogs have taken 37 of 123 logged games this season.
Last time out
Each team’s week so far, next to where Polymarket had them before tip. For the cheaper side of every game on the slate, NBA MARKET does the comparison.
The Spurs are 3-0 this week: a 121-111 home win over the Timberwolves on Saturday as 82¢ favorites, a 119-97 home win over the Jazz on Monday as 90¢ favorites and a 112-111 home win over the Mavericks on Wednesday as 83¢ favorites. One of the three went over the total. On the market they rate 76, 1st of 30, and they are 6-2 against 6.3 expected wins. Their next three opponents rate 42 on average, an easier run than most.
The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this week: a 118-110 win at the Nuggets on Monday as 39¢ underdogs and a 132-119 win at the Suns on Wednesday as 59¢ favorites. One of the two went over the total. One of the wins came as underdogs. On the market they rate 56, 11th of 30, and they are 6-1 against 4.2 expected wins. Their next three opponents rate 68 on average, a tougher run than most.
Player numbers from those games, against their props:
Stephon Castle (Spurs): under 5.5 assists in all 3
Spurs vs Trail Blazers injury report
As of Nov 6. These can change right up to tip.
Ja Morant (Trail Blazers): Out, hamstring
Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers): Out, knee
Tobias Harris (Spurs): Out, calf
Vit Krejci (Trail Blazers): Out, leg
Jayden Quaintance (Spurs): Out, knee
Spurs and Trail Blazers key players
Last season’s numbers, mapped to current rosters. Usage is the share of team possessions a player ends while on the floor, with a shot, free throws or a turnover.
Spurs
Victor Wembanyama: 29.2 min, 32.4% usage, 25.0 pts, 11.5 reb, 3.1 ast
De'Aaron Fox: 31.0 min, 24.9% usage, 18.6 pts, 3.8 reb, 6.2 ast
Stephon Castle: 30.0 min, 24.8% usage, 16.6 pts, 5.3 reb, 7.4 ast
Devin Vassell: 30.5 min, 18.0% usage, 13.9 pts, 4.0 reb, 2.5 ast
Julian Champagnie: 27.6 min, 15.2% usage, 11.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 1.5 ast
Out: Tobias Harris.
Trail Blazers
Deni Avdija: 33.3 min, 29.3% usage, 24.2 pts, 6.9 reb, 6.7 ast
Toumani Camara: 33.3 min, 16.3% usage, 13.4 pts, 5.1 reb, 2.5 ast
Jrue Holiday: 29.4 min, 23.5% usage, 16.3 pts, 4.6 reb, 6.1 ast
Scoot Henderson: 24.9 min, 25.0% usage, 14.2 pts, 2.7 reb, 3.7 ast
Donovan Clingan: 27.2 min, 16.9% usage, 12.1 pts, 11.6 reb, 2.1 ast
Out: Vit Krejci, Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe.
Spurs vs Trail Blazers FAQ
Is Victor Wembanyama playing on Saturday?
Victor Wembanyama was not on the injury report as of Fri 6:14 PM ET. The game-day report, due 5 p.m. local the night before and updated through the day, is the final word.
Who is favored in Spurs vs Trail Blazers?
The Spurs are the shorter side, so a win on them pays less per contract than the Trail Blazers. Both prices sit at the top of this page and update live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Spurs vs Trail Blazers?
Saturday, November 7, at 10:00 PM ET, in Portland.
More NBA predictions are up for Saturday’s other games, and today’s board has every game across the four sports.