Pelicans vs Warriors NBA Prediction, Nov 9

The Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back. Monday, November 9: the Pelicans are in San Francisco to play the Warriors at 10:00 PM ET.

Pelicans and Warriors this season

  • Warriors: 7-3 against 4.9 expected wins, 2.1 above what prices expected, the most in the NBA, 15th-toughest schedule; Monday vs the Pelicans is the second night of a back-to-back for New Orleans (Expected, season to Nov 8, read 3:05 PM)

  • Pelicans: 4-5 against 3.8 expected wins, 0.2 above what prices expected, 23rd-toughest schedule; Monday at Golden State is the second night of a back-to-back after Sunday at the Clippers

  • Price: Warriors 79¢, Pelicans 21¢ (Polymarket, as of Sun 3:44 PM ET)

  • Kalshi: Warriors 79¢, Pelicans 22¢

  • Game total: 224.5 points (over 50¢, under 50¢)

  • 2027 title price: Pelicans 1¢, Warriors 4¢ (Polymarket US)

  • Live price and every move: NBA WIRE

Who is favored in Pelicans vs Warriors

The market leans hard toward the Warriors: 79¢ to 21¢. Kalshi is level with Polymarket here. Compare the two prices for Pelicans vs Warriors on NBA MARKET. That is up 8¢ from the Warriors’ opening price of 71¢. For context, favorites have won 72% of the games on our results page so far (100-39).

How they come in

Each team’s week so far, next to where Polymarket had them before tip.

The Pelicans are 2-1 this week: a 135-134 win at the Grizzlies on Monday as 34¢ underdogs, a 120-113 home win over the Jazz on Wednesday as 64¢ favorites and a 115-109 home loss to the Timberwolves on Friday as 40¢ underdogs. One of the three went over the total. One of the wins came as underdogs. On the market they rate 39, 23rd of 30, and they are 4-5 against 3.8 expected wins. Their next three opponents rate 40 on average, an easier run than most.

The Warriors are 3-0 this week: a 116-113 home win over the Suns on Monday as 56¢ favorites, a 120-100 home win over the Heat on Thursday as 61¢ favorites and a 126-119 home win over the Magic on Saturday as 73¢ favorites. One of the three went over the total. On the market they rate 50, 16th of 30, and they are 7-3 against 4.9 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 52 on average, about an average run.

Player numbers from those games, against their props:

  • Dejounte Murray (Pelicans): under 5.5 assists in all 3

  • Stephen Curry (Warriors): over 2.5 threes in all 3

Injury report

As of Nov 8. Expect updates before tip.

  • Yves Missi (Pelicans): Out, knee

Pelicans and Warriors key players

Last season’s numbers, mapped to current rosters. Usage is the share of team possessions a player ends while on the floor, with a shot, free throws or a turnover.

Pelicans

  • Trey Murphy III: 35.5 min, 22.7% usage, 21.5 pts, 5.7 reb, 3.8 ast

  • Zion Williamson: 29.7 min, 25.7% usage, 21.0 pts, 5.7 reb, 3.2 ast

  • Bennedict Mathurin: 28.0 min, 27.8% usage, 17.4 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.5 ast (new, was LAC)

  • Saddiq Bey: 31.2 min, 21.6% usage, 17.7 pts, 5.6 reb, 2.5 ast

  • Dejounte Murray: 27.8 min, 26.6% usage, 16.7 pts, 5.4 reb, 6.4 ast

Out: Yves Missi.

Warriors

  • Stephen Curry: 30.9 min, 32.5% usage, 26.6 pts, 3.6 reb, 4.7 ast

  • Jimmy Butler: 31.1 min, 23.3% usage, 20.0 pts, 5.6 reb, 4.9 ast

  • Kristaps Porzingis: 23.7 min, 28.3% usage, 16.1 pts, 5.3 reb, 2.3 ast

  • Brandin Podziemski: 28.4 min, 20.1% usage, 13.8 pts, 5.1 reb, 3.7 ast

  • Draymond Green: 27.5 min, 16.1% usage, 8.4 pts, 5.5 reb, 5.5 ast

Top rookies: Yaxel Lendeborg, pick 11 (Warriors).

Pelicans vs Warriors FAQ

Is Stephen Curry playing on Monday?

Stephen Curry was not on the injury report as of Sun 3:44 PM ET. Watch the afternoon report: that is where a change would show first.

Who is favored in Pelicans vs Warriors?

The Warriors, priced at 79¢: the market gives them about a 79% chance, with the Pelicans at 21¢.

When and where is Pelicans vs Warriors?

Monday, November 9, at 10:00 PM ET, in San Francisco.

Every other game tonight has a preview: NBA predictions. The full slate across sports is on today’s board.

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Spurs vs Suns Prediction and Preview: NBA, Nov 9