With Anthony Edwards out, the Timberwolves have slipped from 72¢ at the open to 65¢; he carried 32% usage last season. Thursday, November 12: the Mavericks are in Minnesota to play the Timberwolves at 8:00 PM ET.
Mavericks and Timberwolves this season
Timberwolves: Anthony Edwards is at 33.3 points in 33.8 minutes, but over only 4 games (small sample); Jaden McDaniels matches his 33.8 minutes over all 11 (Basketball-Reference)
Mavericks: Cooper Flagg leads the team at 34.1 minutes and 25.9 points a game; Kyrie Irving adds 22.9 in 30.4 minutes over 9 games
Price: Timberwolves 65¢, Mavericks 35¢ (Polymarket, as of Wed 3:14 PM ET)
Kalshi: Timberwolves 66¢, Mavericks 37¢
Game total: 225.5 points (over 52¢, under 49¢)
2027 title price: Mavericks 2¢, Timberwolves 6¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Who is favored in Mavericks vs Timberwolves
The market makes the Timberwolves the favorite at 65¢; the Mavericks are 35¢. Polymarket has the Timberwolves 1¢ cheaper; Kalshi is 66¢. NBA MARKET keeps Polymarket and Kalshi side by side for this game. The Timberwolves opened at 72¢, so the price has moved 7¢ away from them since. Every tick of that move is charted on NBA WIRE.
Last time out
This week’s results for both teams, with the pre-game Polymarket price. Mavericks’ price on both apps, updated through the day, is on NBA MARKET.
The Mavericks are 3-0 this week: a 112-100 home win over the Jazz on Friday as 70¢ favorites, a 130-93 home win over the Nets on Sunday as 72¢ favorites and a 125-122 home win over the Pacers on Monday as 62¢ favorites. Two of the three went over the total. Market ratings have them only 20th of 30 at 44, yet at 7-4 they are 2.4 wins ahead of what prices expected (4.6). The next three games get harder: those opponents average 60.
The Timberwolves are 3-0 this week: a 117-107 win at the Rockets on Wednesday as 30¢ underdogs, a 115-109 win at the Pelicans on Friday as 60¢ favorites and a 115-100 home win over the Jazz on Sunday as 83¢ favorites. One of the three went over the total. One of the wins came as underdogs. By price they are the 14th of 30 team, rated 54, with 8-3 so far against 5.9 expected. Their next two opponents rate 38 on average, an easier run than most.
The key player props from those games:
P.J. Washington (Mavericks): over 6.5 rebounds in all 3
Daniel Gafford (Mavericks): under 6.5 rebounds in all 3
LaMelo Ball (Timberwolves): over 21.5 points in all 3; over 1.5 threes in all 3
Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves): over 18.5 points in all 3
Mavericks vs Timberwolves injury report
As of Nov 11. These can change right up to tip.
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves): Out, knee
Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves): Out, achilles
Sergio de Larrea (Mavericks): Out, knee
Tarik Biberovic (Mavericks): Out, heel
Dereck Lively II (Mavericks): Out, foot
Morez Johnson Jr. (Mavericks): Questionable, leg
Mavericks vs Timberwolves player stats
Last season’s regular-season numbers on this season’s rosters. Usage is the share of team possessions a player finished while on the floor. Who picks up the shots when a starter sits is on NBA USAGE.
Mavericks
Cooper Flagg: 33.5 min, 26.9% usage, 21.0 pts, 6.7 reb, 4.5 ast
P.J. Washington: 31.0 min, 20.1% usage, 14.2 pts, 7.0 reb, 1.8 ast
Naji Marshall: 29.5 min, 20.5% usage, 15.2 pts, 4.7 reb, 3.3 ast
Max Christie: 29.1 min, 16.4% usage, 12.3 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.0 ast
Santi Aldama: 27.9 min, 20.2% usage, 14.0 pts, 6.7 reb, 2.9 ast (new, was MEM)
Timberwolves
LaMelo Ball: 28.0 min, 32.0% usage, 20.1 pts, 4.8 reb, 7.1 ast (new, was CHA)
Jaden McDaniels: 31.7 min, 18.5% usage, 14.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 2.7 ast
Rudy Gobert: 31.3 min, 12.9% usage, 10.9 pts, 11.5 reb, 1.7 ast
Ayo Dosunmu: 28.9 min, 19.0% usage, 14.4 pts, 4.2 reb, 3.5 ast
Cody Williams: 24.3 min, 16.0% usage, 8.8 pts, 3.0 reb, 2.0 ast (new, was UTA)
Out: Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo.
Top rookies: Morez Johnson Jr., pick 9 (Mavericks).
Mavericks vs Timberwolves FAQ
Who is favored in Mavericks vs Timberwolves?
The Timberwolves, at 65¢ on Polymarket and 66¢ on Kalshi, down from 72¢ at the open. Both prices update live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Mavericks vs Timberwolves?
Thursday, November 12, at 8:00 PM ET, in Minnesota.
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