No Tyler Herro for the Bucks, which takes the 25% usage he carried last season out of their offense. The Lakers visit the Bucks on Wednesday, November 11, at 8:00 PM ET in Milwaukee.
Lakers and Bucks this season
Lakers: 10-2, 2.5 wins above what Kalshi's prices expected (7.5), the most in the NBA; 22nd-toughest schedule (Expected, season through Nov 10, 3:05 PM ET)
Bucks: 1-10 against 2.9 expected wins, 1.9 below, after Tuesday's 117-85 loss at the Knicks
Price: Lakers 86¢, Bucks 14¢ (Polymarket, as of Wed 5:26 AM ET)
Kalshi: Lakers 86¢, Bucks 15¢
Game total: 231.5 points (over 49¢, under 52¢)
2027 title price: Lakers 5¢, Bucks 1¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Lakers vs Bucks prediction: what the price says
The Lakers are heavy favorites at 86¢, with the Bucks at 14¢. Kalshi matches it. NBA MARKET keeps Polymarket and Kalshi side by side for this game. The Lakers opened at 74¢, so the price has moved 12¢ toward them since. Favorites at tip are 118-42 this season (74%) across the games logged on our results page. Watch the price live on NBA WIRE if it keeps moving.
Kalshi player numbers: Lakers vs Bucks
From Kalshi’s player props as of Wed 5:26 AM ET. A player's number is the average result Kalshi’s prices point to; the likely range runs from about 70% to about 30%.
Luka Dončić (Lakers): 34.0 points (likely 31 to 40), 7.4 rebounds, 7.3 assists
Austin Reaves (Lakers): 21.9 points (likely 19 to 27), 3.8 rebounds, 5.2 assists
Walker Kessler (Lakers): 14.3 points (likely 12 to 18), 11.0 rebounds
Sandro Mamukelashvili (Lakers): 8.4 points (likely 5 to 12), 4.7 rebounds
Ziaire Williams (Lakers): 8.4 points (likely 5 to 12), 3.1 rebounds
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Bucks): 13.5 points (likely 11 to 18), 4.9 rebounds, 2.9 assists
Brayden Burries (Bucks): 11.4 points (likely 8 to 15), 5.2 rebounds, 3.2 assists
Kyle Kuzma (Bucks): 10.4 points (likely 7 to 14), 4.6 rebounds, 2.7 assists
Myles Turner (Bucks): 8.6 points (likely 5 to 13), 5.1 rebounds, 2.0 assists
Lakers vs Bucks player stats
These are last season’s figures on this season’s rosters. Usage shows how much of the offense runs through a player while he plays.
Lakers
Luka Doncic: 35.8 min, 38.1% usage, 33.5 pts, 7.7 reb, 8.3 ast
Austin Reaves: 34.5 min, 26.7% usage, 23.3 pts, 4.7 reb, 5.5 ast
Collin Sexton: 26.0 min, 26.2% usage, 17.5 pts, 2.9 reb, 2.5 ast (new, was CHI)
Quentin Grimes: 29.4 min, 19.0% usage, 13.4 pts, 3.6 reb, 3.3 ast (new, was PHI)
Jake LaRavia: 25.1 min, 14.4% usage, 8.2 pts, 4.0 reb, 1.8 ast
Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.: 33.2 min, 24.3% usage, 17.4 pts, 5.2 reb, 7.4 ast
Ryan Rollins: 32.1 min, 24.2% usage, 17.3 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.6 ast
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 28.3 min, 22.3% usage, 15.4 pts, 5.0 reb, 4.7 ast (new, was MIA)
A.J. Green: 29.1 min, 14.0% usage, 10.4 pts, 2.7 reb, 1.9 ast
Ousmane Dieng: 26.8 min, 21.5% usage, 11.0 pts, 4.6 reb, 3.6 ast
Out: Tyler Herro.
Top rookies: Brayden Burries, pick 10 (Bucks).
How they come in
The last few games for both teams, with the price going in.
The Lakers are 3-0 this week: a 124-118 home win over the Trail Blazers on Friday as 58¢ favorites, a 121-116 win at the Pistons on Sunday as 31¢ underdogs and a 124-114 win at the Hawks on Monday as 45¢ underdogs. All three went over the total. Two of the wins came as underdogs. On the market they rate 60, 7th of 30, and they are 10-2 against 7.5 expected wins. The schedule eases after this: the next two opponents average 39.
The Bucks are 0-3 this week: a 121-107 home loss to the Raptors on Friday as 40¢ underdogs, a 117-97 home loss to the Celtics on Sunday as 13¢ underdogs and a 117-85 loss at the Knicks on Tuesday as 10¢ underdogs. All three went under the total. Pre-game prices put them 28th of 30 (a 31 rating); their 1-10 record compares with 2.9 wins the prices expected.
How the starters did against their Polymarket numbers:
Austin Reaves (Lakers): under 4.5 assists in all 3
Injury report: Lakers vs Bucks
As of Nov 11. Statuses can change up to tip.
Tyler Herro (Bucks): Out, knee
Quentin Grimes (Lakers): Questionable, finger
Kel'el Ware (Bucks): Questionable, ankle
Questions about Lakers vs Bucks
Is Luka Doncic playing tonight?
Luka Doncic was not on the injury report as of Wed 5:26 AM ET. Status can still change at shootaround, so the last report before tip is the one that counts.
Who is favored in Lakers vs Bucks?
The Lakers, at 86¢ on Polymarket to the Bucks’ 14¢. NBA MARKET shows whether Kalshi has either side cheaper.
When and where is Lakers vs Bucks?
Wednesday, November 11, at 8:00 PM ET, in Milwaukee.
For tonight’s other games, see NBA predictions; today’s board covers every sport.
Opening a Polymarket account for this one? Code SKILL adds $25 on a $10 deposit (offer).