The Heat are on the second night of a back-to-back. The Warriors host the Heat in San Francisco on Thursday, November 5, at 10:00 PM ET.
Form going in
Warriors: 5-3 against 3.6 expected wins, 1.4 above (7th-most of 30 teams), 13th-toughest schedule; 5-3 on overs, avg total 229.8 (Expected, season to Nov 3)
Heat: 2-5 against 4.0 expected wins, 2.0 below (2nd-furthest below of 30 teams), 15th-easiest schedule; 4-3 on overs, avg total 237.9 (Expected, season to Nov 3)
Price: Warriors 62¢, Heat 38¢ (Polymarket, as of Wed 3:09 PM ET)
Kalshi: Warriors 63¢, Heat 39¢
Game total: 235.5 points (over 50¢, under 50¢)
2027 title price: Heat 2¢, Warriors 2¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Heat vs Warriors prediction: what the price says
The market makes the Warriors the favorite at 62¢; the Heat are 38¢. Polymarket has the Warriors 1¢ cheaper; Kalshi is 63¢. For the Kalshi side of this one, NBA MARKET lists both prices. Favorites at tip are 74-33 this season (69%) across the games logged on our results page. How Heat and Warriors have done against their pre-game prices is tracked on Expected.
Heat and Warriors key players
These are last season’s figures on this season’s rosters. Usage shows how much of the offense runs through a player while he plays. For how Warriors’ minutes and shots are spread, check NBA USAGE.
Heat
Giannis Antetokounmpo: 28.9 min, 37.0% usage, 27.6 pts, 9.8 reb, 5.4 ast (new, was MIL)
Bam Adebayo: 32.4 min, 25.0% usage, 20.1 pts, 10.0 reb, 3.2 ast
Andrew Wiggins: 30.3 min, 19.7% usage, 15.4 pts, 4.8 reb, 2.7 ast
Davion Mitchell: 28.6 min, 13.7% usage, 9.3 pts, 2.7 reb, 6.5 ast
Tim Hardaway Jr.: 26.6 min, 18.5% usage, 13.5 pts, 2.6 reb, 1.4 ast (new, was DEN)
Warriors
Stephen Curry: 30.9 min, 32.5% usage, 26.6 pts, 3.6 reb, 4.7 ast
Jimmy Butler: 31.1 min, 23.3% usage, 20.0 pts, 5.6 reb, 4.9 ast
Kristaps Porzingis: 23.7 min, 28.3% usage, 16.1 pts, 5.3 reb, 2.3 ast
Brandin Podziemski: 28.4 min, 20.1% usage, 13.8 pts, 5.1 reb, 3.7 ast
Draymond Green: 27.5 min, 16.1% usage, 8.4 pts, 5.5 reb, 5.5 ast
Top rookies: Yaxel Lendeborg, pick 11 (Warriors).
Questions about Heat vs Warriors
Is Giannis Antetokounmpo playing on Thursday?
Giannis Antetokounmpo was not on the injury report as of Wed 3:09 PM ET. Status can still change at shootaround, so the last report before tip is the one that counts.
Is Stephen Curry playing on Thursday?
Stephen Curry was not on the injury report as of Wed 3:09 PM ET. The game-day report, due 5 p.m. local the night before and updated through the day, is the final word.
Who is favored in Heat vs Warriors?
The Warriors are the shorter side, so a win on them pays less per contract than the Heat. Both prices sit at the top of this page and update live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Heat vs Warriors?
Thursday, November 5, at 10:00 PM ET, in San Francisco.
For tonight’s other games, see NBA predictions; today’s board covers every sport.
First time on Polymarket? $25 on a $10 deposit, code SKILL. See the offer.
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