Celtics vs Bucks prediction: the Celtics are 87¢ on Polymarket and 87¢ on Kalshi for Sunday’s 8:00 PM ET game in Milwaukee, up from 76¢ at the open. Boston is 7-2 against the 28th-toughest schedule; the Bucks are 1-8 and 1.6 wins behind what prices expected.
Celtics and Bucks this season
Celtics: 7-2 against 6.3 expected wins, 0.7 above what prices expected, with the 28th-toughest schedule (Expected, season to Nov 7, read 9:56 AM)
Bucks: 1-8 against 2.6 expected wins, 1.6 below what prices expected, 8th-toughest schedule (Expected, season to Nov 7, read 9:56 AM)
Price: Celtics 87¢, Bucks 14¢ (Polymarket, as of Sun 8:34 AM ET)
Kalshi: Celtics 87¢, Bucks 14¢
2027 title price: Celtics 7¢, Bucks 1¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Celtics vs Bucks prices on Polymarket and Kalshi
The Celtics are heavy favorites at 87¢, with the Bucks at 14¢. Kalshi has the Celtics at 87¢ too. Compare the two prices for Celtics vs Bucks on NBA MARKET. The Celtics opened at 76¢, so the price has moved 11¢ toward them since. This season, the team favored at tip has won 94 of 132 games we have logged (71%). How Celtics and Bucks have done against their pre-game prices is tracked on Expected.
Celtics vs Bucks player stats
These are last season’s figures on this season’s rosters. Usage shows how much of the offense runs through a player while he plays.
Celtics
Jayson Tatum: 32.6 min, 30.0% usage, 21.8 pts, 10.0 reb, 5.3 ast
Derrick White: 34.1 min, 22.0% usage, 16.5 pts, 4.4 reb, 5.4 ast
Payton Pritchard: 32.3 min, 21.4% usage, 17.0 pts, 3.9 reb, 5.2 ast
Paul George: 30.7 min, 23.3% usage, 17.3 pts, 5.3 reb, 3.6 ast (new, was PHI)
Neemias Queta: 25.3 min, 14.7% usage, 10.2 pts, 8.4 reb, 1.7 ast
Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.: 33.2 min, 24.3% usage, 17.4 pts, 5.2 reb, 7.4 ast
Ryan Rollins: 32.1 min, 24.2% usage, 17.3 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.6 ast
Tyler Herro: 31.3 min, 24.7% usage, 20.5 pts, 4.8 reb, 4.1 ast (new, was MIA)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 28.3 min, 22.3% usage, 15.4 pts, 5.0 reb, 4.7 ast (new, was MIA)
A.J. Green: 29.1 min, 14.0% usage, 10.4 pts, 2.7 reb, 1.9 ast
Top rookies: Brayden Burries, pick 10 (Bucks).
How they come in
Recent games for each side, and what Polymarket priced them at before tip.
The Celtics are 2-1 this week: a 109-93 loss at the Rockets on Monday as 38¢ underdogs, a 109-102 home win over the Bucks on Wednesday as 84¢ favorites and a 119-80 win at the Hornets on Friday as 79¢ favorites. All three went under the total. On the market they rate 65, 3rd of 30, and they are 7-2 against 6.3 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 46 on average, an easier run than most.
The Bucks are 0-3 this week: a 112-100 loss at the Timberwolves on Monday as 22¢ underdogs, a 109-102 loss at the Celtics on Wednesday as 16¢ underdogs and a 121-107 home loss to the Raptors on Friday as 40¢ underdogs. All three went under the total. On the market they rate 31, 29th of 30, and they are 1-8 against 2.6 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 65 on average, a tougher run than most.
Player props in those games (Polymarket prices):
Derrick White (Celtics): over 4.5 assists in all 3
Injury report
As of Nov 8. Expect updates before tip.
Mitchell Robinson (Celtics): Questionable, illness
Gary Trent Jr. (Bucks): Out, illness
Questions about Celtics vs Bucks
Who is favored in Celtics vs Bucks?
The Celtics are the shorter side, so a win on them pays less per contract than the Bucks. Both prices sit at the top of this page and update live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Celtics vs Bucks?
Sunday, November 8, at 8:00 PM ET, in Milwaukee.
Still deciding on the rest of the slate? NBA previews covers each game, and today’s board has every sport.
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