Cavaliers vs Heat NBA Prediction, Nov 13

No Evan Mobley for the Cavaliers, which takes the 23% usage he carried last season out of their offense. The Heat host the Cavaliers in Miami on Friday, November 13, at 8:00 PM ET.

Form going in

  • Heat: Giannis Antetokounmpo leads a 5-6 team at 27.7 points in 32.6 minutes; Davion Mitchell plays the most (35.8); won at Sacramento 114-108 on Nov 8

  • Price: Heat 55¢, Cavaliers 45¢ (Polymarket, as of Thu 6:43 PM ET)

  • Kalshi: Heat 55¢, Cavaliers 45¢

  • Game total: 239.5 points (over 50¢, under 50¢)

  • 2027 title price: Cavaliers 3¢, Heat 2¢ (Polymarket US)

  • Live price and every move: NBA WIRE

Cavaliers vs Heat prices on Polymarket and Kalshi

Polymarket has the Heat at 55¢ and the Cavaliers at 45¢. Kalshi is level with Polymarket here. Compare the two prices for Cavaliers vs Heat on NBA MARKET. The Heat opened at 50¢, so the price has moved 5¢ toward them since. Underdogs have taken 44 of 170 logged games this season. For Cavaliers’ results against the market so far, see Expected.

Injury report: Cavaliers vs Heat

As of Nov 12. Statuses can change up to tip.

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Heat): Questionable, wrist

  • Evan Mobley (Cavaliers): Out, toe

  • Klay Thompson (Heat): Questionable, ankle

  • Sam Merrill (Cavaliers): Out, elbow

The rotations, by last season’s numbers

2025-26 regular-season numbers on today’s rosters. Usage measures how many possessions a player finishes while he’s on the court.

Cavaliers

  • Donovan Mitchell: 33.5 min, 32.2% usage, 27.9 pts, 4.5 reb, 5.7 ast

  • James Harden: 33.8 min, 24.0% usage, 20.5 pts, 4.8 reb, 7.7 ast

  • Peyton Watson: 29.6 min, 20.6% usage, 14.6 pts, 4.9 reb, 2.1 ast (new, was DEN)

  • Jarrett Allen: 27.1 min, 19.9% usage, 15.4 pts, 8.5 reb, 1.8 ast

  • Jaylon Tyson: 26.9 min, 19.3% usage, 13.2 pts, 5.1 reb, 2.2 ast

Out: Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill.

Heat

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo: 28.9 min, 37.0% usage, 27.6 pts, 9.8 reb, 5.4 ast (new, was MIL)

  • Bam Adebayo: 32.4 min, 25.0% usage, 20.1 pts, 10.0 reb, 3.2 ast

  • Andrew Wiggins: 30.3 min, 19.7% usage, 15.4 pts, 4.8 reb, 2.7 ast

  • Davion Mitchell: 28.6 min, 13.7% usage, 9.3 pts, 2.7 reb, 6.5 ast

  • Tim Hardaway Jr.: 26.6 min, 18.5% usage, 13.5 pts, 2.6 reb, 1.4 ast (new, was DEN)

Recent form: Cavaliers vs Heat

Recent games for each side, and what Polymarket priced them at before tip.

The Cavaliers are 1-2 this week: a 109-97 home loss to the Knicks on Saturday as 35¢ underdogs, a 124-112 loss at the Hornets on Monday as 76¢ favorites and a 115-107 win at the Knicks on Wednesday as 35¢ underdogs. Two of the three went over the total. One of the wins came as underdogs. A 59 rating puts them 9th of 30 by price, and their 6-6 record compares with 6.7 expected wins.

The Heat are 2-1 this week: a 120-100 loss at the Warriors on Thursday as 39¢ underdogs, a 114-108 win at the Kings on Sunday as 81¢ favorites and a 115-109 win at the Jazz on Tuesday as 77¢ favorites. All three went under the total. On the market they rate 56, 12th of 30, and they are 5-6 against 6.6 expected wins. The next two games get harder: those opponents average 61.

Player props in those games (Polymarket prices):

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Heat): under 5.5 assists in all 3

  • Klay Thompson (Heat): over 1.5 threes in all 3

Questions about Cavaliers vs Heat

Is Donovan Mitchell playing on Friday?

Donovan Mitchell was not on the injury report as of Thu 6:43 PM ET. Watch the afternoon report: that is where a change would show first.

Is Giannis Antetokounmpo playing on Friday?

Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as questionable (wrist) as of Thu 6:43 PM ET. Watch the afternoon report: that is where a change would show first.

Who is favored in Cavaliers vs Heat?

The Heat, at 55¢ on Polymarket and Kalshi (Thu 6:43 PM ET), with the Cavaliers at 45¢.

When and where is Cavaliers vs Heat?

Friday, November 13, at 8:00 PM ET, in Miami.

Still deciding on the rest of the slate? NBA predictions covers each game, and today’s board has every sport.

Polymarket gives new users $25 on a $10 deposit (code SKILL, details).

Previous
Previous

Thunder vs Clippers NBA Prediction, Nov 13

Next
Next

Hawks vs Bulls Prediction and Preview (Nov 13)