Leeds host Tottenham on Saturday, November 7 (7:30 AM ET) with one league win in seven and 2.0 points fewer than Kalshi's day-before prices expected. Tottenham arrive on back-to-back 2-0 wins, and the Leeds vs Tottenham prediction market still has it close to even.
Price: Leeds 36¢, draw 28¢, Tottenham 37¢ (Polymarket, as of Thu 1:20 PM ET)
Kalshi: Tottenham 36¢
Live price and every move: EPL WIRE
Current form
Leeds: 3 points and 2 goals from the last 5, no win in that run; four draws in 7 matches.
Leeds: 7 points from 7 against 9.0 expected, 2.0 below what prices expected on our Expected page.
Tottenham: 10 points from the last 5, 10 scored and 5 conceded, with 2-0 wins at Chelsea and against Crystal Palace in the last two.
Tottenham: 12 points from 7 against 10.6 expected, +1.4; 5th, and 17¢ for the top four on Polymarket.
Injuries and suspensions
Leeds: Okafor (75% to play)
Tottenham: out: Sávio (muscular injury), Bergvall (knee injury)
From the Premier League’s injury list. Team sheets come out about an hour before kickoff.
Players to watch
Leeds: Calvert-Lewin, 3 goals and 1 assist in the league this season; Bogle 2 and 0
Tottenham: Van Hecke, 2 goals and 0 assists in the league this season; Kudus 0 and 3
Reading the Leeds vs Tottenham price
Close to even: Tottenham 37¢, Leeds 36¢. A draw costs 28¢. Kalshi has Tottenham 1¢ cheaper at 36¢.
The table and the price disagree here. Tottenham are 5th and Leeds 14th, nine places apart, yet the market rates them two places apart: Market ratings: Tottenham 52 (8th of 20), Leeds 49 (10th) on EPL power rankings. The near-even price follows those ratings and home advantage, not the standings.
Before kickoff
Team sheets: about 6:30 AM ET, an hour before kickoff.
Kickoff: 7:30 AM ET.
Track the price through kickoff on EPL WIRE.
FAQ
Who is favored in Leeds vs Tottenham?
Tottenham at 37¢ to win, with the draw at 28¢ and Leeds at 36¢ on Polymarket (Thu 1:20 PM ET).
When is Leeds vs Tottenham?
Saturday, November 7, at 7:30 AM ET.
What happens to a trade if the game ends in a draw?
The draw is its own outcome: contracts on either team to win settle at zero, and only the draw pays.
When are the lineups announced?
About an hour before kickoff, when the clubs publish their team sheets.
Prices change by the minute and are not advice.
Kalshi gives new traders $25 after a $25 trade (code SKILL, details).