Brighton host Brentford on Sunday, November 8 (9:00 AM ET) 6.0 points ahead of what Kalshi's day-before prices expected, the furthest of any club in the league. The Brighton vs Brentford prediction market still has them at just 51¢, and rates Brentford a place higher.
Price: Brighton 51¢, draw 26¢, Brentford 26¢ (Polymarket, as of Thu 1:42 PM ET)
Kalshi: Brighton 50¢
Live price and every move: EPL WIRE
Brentford and Brighton this season
Brighton: 12 points from the last 5, 11 scored and 2 conceded, including 3-0 against Arsenal and 1-0 at Man City.
Brighton: 16 points from 7 against 10.0 expected, +6.0, the furthest ahead of prices in the league on our Expected page.
Brentford: 8 points from the last 5, 9 scored and 5 conceded; four draws in 7.
Brentford: 10 points from 7 against 11.1 expected, 1.1 below.
Who’s missing
Brighton: out: Struijk (hamstring injury); F. Kadıoğlu (75% to play)
Brentford: no absences on the league’s injury list
From the Premier League’s injury list. Team sheets come out about an hour before kickoff.
In form
Brighton: Groß, 3 goals and 6 assists in the league this season; Kostoulas 3 and 4
Brentford: Schade, 3 goals and 2 assists in the league this season; Thiago 2 and 3
Where the Brighton vs Brentford price sits
The market makes Brighton the favorite at 51¢. The draw is 26¢, roughly a one-in-four chance of a level result. Kalshi has Brighton 1¢ cheaper at 50¢.
Results and ratings split here. Brighton are 2nd in the table with the league's best goal difference (+14), yet the market rates them level with a Brentford side that is behind its prices: Market ratings: Brentford 57 (6th of 20), Brighton 55 (7th) on EPL power rankings.
Before kickoff
Team sheets: about 8:00 AM ET, an hour before kickoff.
Kickoff: 9:00 AM ET.
Track the price through kickoff on EPL WIRE.
FAQ
Who is favored in Brighton vs Brentford?
Brighton at 51¢ to win, with the draw at 26¢ and Brentford at 26¢ on Polymarket (Thu 1:42 PM ET).
When is Brighton vs Brentford?
Sunday, November 8, at 9:00 AM ET.
What happens to a trade if the game ends in a draw?
The draw is its own outcome: contracts on either team to win settle at zero, and only the draw pays.
When are the lineups announced?
About an hour before kickoff, when the clubs publish their team sheets.
Prices change by the minute and are not advice.
First Kalshi trade? $25 back when you trade $25, code SKILL. See the offer.