FURIA beat Vitality as a 30¢ underdog on Wednesday, and MOUZ came back from 6¢ on Polymarket to beat FUT on Thursday. BLAST Rivals: Vitality vs MOUZ, best of three, Friday 3:00 AM ET.
Price: Vitality 59¢, MOUZ 41¢ (as of Thu 12:46 PM ET)
Kalshi: Vitality 58¢, MOUZ 42¢
Top rated: ZywOo (Vitality), xertioN (MOUZ)
Who is favored in Vitality vs MOUZ
The market has Vitality at 59¢. That is 7 points higher than where Vitality opened, at 52¢. Kalshi has Vitality 1¢ cheaper at 58¢. CS2 WIRE logs each move in this market as it happens.
Both prices sit side by side on CS2 MARKET. At these prices, $10 on Vitality returns approximately $16.95 if they win, and $10 on MOUZ returns $24.39.
Map by map
Map 1: Vitality 52¢, MOUZ 48¢
Three maps (over 2.5): 47¢
Vitality are 59¢ for the series but 52¢ on map 1, so the market trusts them more over a full series than on any single map.
Vitality and MOUZ lineups
Vitality are flameZ, ropz and mezii on rifles, ZywOo on the AWP and apEX calling.
xertioN calls for MOUZ, with torzsi on the AWP and Spinx, xelex and PR on rifles. Full rosters and roles for every top team are on LINEUPS.
How they’ve done against expectations
Market ratings: Vitality 72 (1st of 19), MOUZ 67 (3rd) on CS2 power rankings, built from what traders paid before each series at top events. MOUZ have climbed 6 recently.
Vitality: 19–6 in all series over the last 90 days (power rankings count top events only), right around the 18.5 wins their pre-game prices expected.
MOUZ: 20–7 in all series over the last 90 days (power rankings count top events only), 3.0 wins above the 17.0 their pre-game prices expected.
Title market: Vitality 23¢ and MOUZ 11¢ to win BLAST Rivals Hong Kong on Polymarket. Every contender: CS2 futures.
Only series that settled on Kalshi count, so these records can differ from event totals. All teams: CS2 Expected.
Who to watch
ZywOo (Vitality’s AWPer): One of the ten highest-rated players in our ratings, and Vitality’s highest; a step behind donk technically, but complete in every part of the game.
xertioN (MOUZ’s in-game leader): Among the top 30 in our player ratings, and MOUZ’s highest; MOUZ's former aggressive entry who recently became IGL.
ZywOo vs torzsi: the AWP matchup; opening picks tend to decide tempo.
Questions about Vitality vs MOUZ
Who is favored in Vitality vs MOUZ?
Vitality, at 59¢ on Polymarket against 41¢ for MOUZ; Kalshi has Vitality at 58¢.
When does Vitality vs MOUZ start?
Friday, November 13, at 3:00 AM ET, best of three.
Prices move, and this is not advice.
Polymarket lists the most CS2 series: $25 on a $10 deposit, code SKILL. Claim it here.
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