Polymarket and Kalshi both have MOUZ at 75¢. This MOUZ vs PARIVISION prediction covers a best of three on Wednesday at 2:00 AM ET, part of IEM Beijing Group B.
Price: MOUZ 75¢, PARIVISION 26¢ (as of Tue 9:03 AM ET)
Kalshi: MOUZ 75¢, PARIVISION 25¢
Top rated: Spinx (MOUZ), xiELO (PARIVISION)
Reading the price
The market has MOUZ at 75¢, about a 75% chance. Only about $2,126 has traded, so expect the price to move before the start. Kalshi also has MOUZ at 75¢, so there is no gap between the apps. Every tick of that move is charted on CS2 WIRE.
CS2 MARKET keeps both apps side by side. At these prices, $10 on MOUZ returns approximately $13.33 if they win, and $10 on PARIVISION returns $38.46.
MOUZ and PARIVISION lineups
MOUZ are Spinx, xelex and PR on rifles, torzsi on the AWP and xertioN calling. Both rosters, with recent changes, are on our CS2 lineups page.
PARIVISION field zweih, xiELO, HObbit and FL1T on rifles, Jame holding the AWP and calling. LINEUPS tracks every top roster and each player's role.
How they’ve done against expectations
MOUZ: 8–3 over the last 90 days, 1.3 wins above the 6.7 their pre-game prices expected.
PARIVISION: 5–3 over the last 90 days, right around the 4.6 wins their pre-game prices expected.
Only series that settled on Kalshi count, so these records can differ from event totals. All teams: CS2 Expected. MOUZ’s price on both apps, updated through the day, is on CS2 MARKET.
Who to watch
torzsi: MOUZ’s AWPer; steady and hard to trade out of a site.
xiELO (PARIVISION): Rifler for PARIVISION.
Spinx (MOUZ): The top rifler in MOUZ’s five.
torzsi vs Jame: the battle behind the AWP.
Quick answers
Who is favored in MOUZ vs PARIVISION?
MOUZ, at 75¢ on Polymarket against 26¢ for PARIVISION; Kalshi also has MOUZ at 75¢.
When does MOUZ vs PARIVISION start?
Wednesday, November 4, at 2:00 AM ET, best of three.
Prices move, and this is not advice.
Map by map
Map 1: MOUZ 66¢, PARIVISION 36¢
MOUZ 2-0 (−1.5 maps): 48¢
Three maps (over 2.5): 43¢
Of MOUZ’s 75¢ to win, 48¢ is a 2-0 and 27¢ a 2-1, so the market leans toward a sweep. Over 2.5 maps is 43¢ at time of writing.
Polymarket lists the most CS2 series: $25 on a $10 deposit, code SKILL. Claim it here.
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