Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction and Preview (Oct 28)
In this Nuggets vs Pelicans prediction, the Nuggets are 64¢ on Polymarket, down from a 68¢ open, against a Pelicans team that is 0-3 and 1.1 wins behind what prices expected. The Pelicans host the Nuggets in New Orleans on Wednesday, October 28, at 8:00 PM ET.
Form going in
Nuggets: 1-2, 0.8 wins below what prices expected, 19th-toughest schedule (Expected, season to Oct 27)
Pelicans: 0-3, 1.1 wins below what prices expected, 5th-toughest schedule (Expected, season to Oct 27)
Price: Nuggets 64¢, Pelicans 36¢ (Polymarket, as of Tue 9:23 PM ET)
Kalshi: Nuggets 65¢, Pelicans 36¢
Game total: 236.5 points (over 50¢, under 50¢)
2027 title price: Nuggets 4¢, Pelicans 1¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Nuggets vs Pelicans prediction: what the price says
Polymarket has the Nuggets at 64¢ and the Pelicans at 36¢. Polymarket has the Nuggets 1¢ cheaper; Kalshi is 65¢. NBA MARKET shows that 1¢ gap as it moves. The 64¢ is down 4¢ from the Nuggets’ opening price of 68¢. The team favored at tip is 36-16 this season (69%) in the games logged so far. How Nuggets and Pelicans have done against their pre-game prices is tracked on Expected.
The rotations, by last season’s numbers
The rows below are each player’s 2025-26 regular season, shown on his 2026-27 team. A usage rate is the percent of possessions he used up with a shot, free throws or a turnover. For how Pelicans’ minutes and shots are spread, check NBA USAGE.
Nuggets
Nikola Jokic: 34.8 min, 30.4% usage, 27.7 pts, 12.9 reb, 10.7 ast
Jamal Murray: 35.4 min, 27.9% usage, 25.4 pts, 4.4 reb, 7.1 ast
DeMar DeRozan: 31.2 min, 22.8% usage, 18.4 pts, 2.9 reb, 4.1 ast (new, was SAC)
Christian Braun: 31.8 min, 14.8% usage, 12.0 pts, 4.8 reb, 2.7 ast
Cameron Johnson: 30.5 min, 15.1% usage, 12.2 pts, 3.8 reb, 2.4 ast
Pelicans
Trey Murphy III: 35.5 min, 22.7% usage, 21.5 pts, 5.7 reb, 3.8 ast
Zion Williamson: 29.7 min, 25.7% usage, 21.0 pts, 5.7 reb, 3.2 ast
Bennedict Mathurin: 28.0 min, 27.8% usage, 17.4 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.5 ast (new, was LAC)
Saddiq Bey: 31.2 min, 21.6% usage, 17.7 pts, 5.6 reb, 2.5 ast
Dejounte Murray: 27.8 min, 26.6% usage, 16.7 pts, 5.4 reb, 6.4 ast
Questions about Nuggets vs Pelicans
Is Nikola Jokic playing tonight?
Nikola Jokic was not on the injury report as of Tue 9:23 PM ET. Denver’s report before tip would flag any change, and his 30.4% usage would then have to be covered by the rest of the rotation.
Who will win, the Nuggets or the Pelicans?
The Nuggets. Polymarket has them at 64¢, which reads as about a 64% chance, with each move before and during the game on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Nuggets vs Pelicans?
Wednesday, October 28, at 8:00 PM ET, in New Orleans.
The rest of tonight’s games are in NBA predictions; today’s board has NBA, NFL, EPL and CS2 in one view.
First time on Polymarket? $25 on a $10 deposit, code SKILL. See the offer.
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