Thunder vs Rockets prediction: Houston has climbed from 33¢ to 59¢ for this one, a night after losing in Dallas, while the Thunder are without Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso and Cason Wallace. Saturday, October 31: the Thunder are in Houston to play the Rockets at 8:30 PM ET.
Thunder: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projects 27.4 points, 37% of listed points, with Jalen Williams, Holmgren, Caruso and Wallace out (NBA USAGE, Kalshi, Oct 31 7:42 AM)
Thunder: Jared McCain's points markets are the most traded on the slate, $3.3K in 24 hours; he projects 14.5 points (NBA USAGE, Kalshi, Oct 31 7:42 AM)
Rockets: Kevin Durant projects 21.6 points (28% of listed points) and Alperen Sengun 18.5 (24%), with Sengun questionable (back) (NBA USAGE, Kalshi, Oct 31 7:42 AM)
Rockets: 5-1 this season, 1.4 wins above what prices expected; 5-1 on overs, the best over record in the NBA (Expected, season to Oct 31)
Price: Rockets 59¢, Thunder 41¢ (Polymarket, as of Sat 7:58 AM ET)
Kalshi: Rockets 60¢, Thunder 42¢
Game total: 218.5 points (over 52¢, under 49¢)
2027 title price: Thunder 17¢, Rockets 7¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Who is favored in Thunder vs Rockets
The Rockets are favored at 59¢, with the Thunder at 41¢. Polymarket has the Rockets 1¢ cheaper; Kalshi is 60¢. NBA MARKET shows which app is cheaper for every game tonight. That is up 26¢ from the Rockets’ opening price of 33¢. The team favored at tip is 54-27 in our logged games, so upsets have come about 33% of the time.
Injury report: Thunder vs Rockets
As of Oct 31. Statuses can change up to tip.
Alperen Sengun (Rockets): Questionable, back
Jalen Williams (Thunder): Out, ankle
Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Out, knee
Reed Sheppard (Rockets): Questionable, back
Cason Wallace (Thunder): Out, shoulder
Alex Caruso (Thunder): Out, ankle
Steven Adams (Rockets): Out, calf
Thomas Sorber (Thunder): Out, knee
Nikola Topic (Thunder): Out, back
Player projections: Thunder vs Rockets
From Kalshi’s player props as of Sat 7:58 AM ET. A projection is the average result Kalshi’s prices point to; the likely range runs from about 70% to about 30%.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): 27.2 points (likely 26 to 34), 4.0 rebounds, 4.7 assists
Ajay Mitchell (Thunder): 17.9 points (likely 16 to 23), 3.7 rebounds, 3.8 assists
Jared McCain (Thunder): 14.7 points (likely 11 to 19), 3.0 rebounds, 2.1 assists
Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder): 9.3 points (likely 6 to 13), 8.9 rebounds, 3.0 assists
Aday Mara (Thunder): 5.0 points, 4.3 rebounds
Kevin Durant (Rockets): 21.9 points (likely 20 to 28), 4.9 rebounds, 3.3 assists
Alperen Sengun (Rockets): 18.7 points (likely 15 to 23), 5.3 rebounds, 5.0 assists
Amen Thompson (Rockets): 16.2 points (likely 13 to 20), 5.6 rebounds, 4.1 assists
Jabari Smith Jr. (Rockets): 14.0 points (likely 12 to 18), 5.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists
Reed Sheppard (Rockets): 7.6 points (likely 5 to 13), 3.2 assists
Thunder vs Rockets player stats
Last season’s regular-season numbers on this season’s rosters. Usage is the share of team possessions a player finished while on the floor.
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 33.2 min, 33.3% usage, 31.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 6.6 ast
Ajay Mitchell: 25.8 min, 21.8% usage, 13.6 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.6 ast
Isaiah Hartenstein: 24.2 min, 16.1% usage, 9.2 pts, 9.4 reb, 3.5 ast
Jared McCain: 18.0 min, 23.2% usage, 10.4 pts, 2.1 reb, 0.9 ast
Jaylin Williams: 19.7 min, 15.5% usage, 7.2 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.4 ast
Out: Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace.
Rockets
Kevin Durant: 36.4 min, 27.0% usage, 26.0 pts, 5.4 reb, 4.8 ast
Amen Thompson: 37.4 min, 20.0% usage, 18.3 pts, 7.8 reb, 5.3 ast
Alperen Sengun: 33.3 min, 26.6% usage, 20.4 pts, 8.9 reb, 6.2 ast
Jabari Smith Jr.: 35.1 min, 18.2% usage, 15.8 pts, 6.9 reb, 1.9 ast
Marcus Smart: 28.5 min, 15.4% usage, 9.3 pts, 2.8 reb, 3.0 ast (new, was LAL)
Out: Steven Adams.
Last time out
This week’s results for both teams, with the pre-game Polymarket price.
The Thunder lost their only game this week, 120-96 at the Mavericks on Wednesday as 65¢ favorites on Polymarket. It went under the 234.5 total.
The Rockets are 2-1 this week: a 120-110 home win over the Hawks on Monday as 64¢ favorites, a 132-100 win at the Bucks on Wednesday as 76¢ favorites and a 116-111 loss at the Mavericks on Friday as 65¢ favorites. Two of the three went over the total. On the market they rate 59, 9th of 30, and they are 5-1 against 3.6 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 71 on average, a tougher run than most.
The key player props from those games:
Amen Thompson (Rockets): under 7.5 rebounds in all 3
Thunder vs Rockets FAQ
Is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing tonight?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was not on the injury report as of Sat 7:58 AM ET. Status can still change at shootaround, so the last report before tip is the one that counts.
Is Kevin Durant playing tonight?
Kevin Durant was not on the injury report as of Sat 7:58 AM ET. Status can still change at shootaround, so the last report before tip is the one that counts.
Who is favored in Thunder vs Rockets?
The Rockets, at 59¢ on Polymarket to the Thunder’s 41¢. NBA MARKET shows whether Kalshi has either side cheaper.
When and where is Thunder vs Rockets?
Saturday, October 31, at 8:30 PM ET, in Houston.
Every other game tonight has a preview: NBA previews. The full slate across sports is on today’s board.
If you trade this on Kalshi for the first time, code SKILL adds $25 once you trade $25 (offer).