Cavaliers vs Bucks prediction: Cleveland is 75¢ in Milwaukee, up from 71¢ at the open, against a 1-4 Bucks team whose games have gone over the market total four times in five. Cavaliers at Bucks, Saturday, October 31: tip is 8:00 PM ET in Milwaukee.
Cavaliers: Donovan Mitchell's points markets are the most traded on either team, $457 in 24 hours, with Jaylon Tyson out (NBA USAGE, Kalshi, Oct 31 7:42 AM)
Cavaliers: 3-2 this season, 0.1 wins below what prices expected, against the 20th-toughest schedule (Expected, season to Oct 31)
Bucks: no Buck above 22% of listed points (Herro 22%, Jaquez and Rollins 19% each), the flattest top three on the slate (NBA USAGE, Kalshi, Oct 31 7:42 AM)
Bucks: 1-4 this season, 0.7 wins below what prices expected; 4-1 on overs against the market total, averaging 236.1 (Expected, season to Oct 31)
Price: Cavaliers 75¢, Bucks 25¢ (Polymarket, as of Sat 8:06 AM ET)
Kalshi: Cavaliers 76¢, Bucks 25¢
Game total: 237.5 points (over 49¢, under 51¢)
2027 title price: Cavaliers 3¢, Bucks 1¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
What the price says
The market leans hard toward the Cavaliers: 75¢ to 25¢. Polymarket has the Cavaliers 1¢ cheaper; Kalshi is 76¢. Compare the two prices for Cavaliers vs Bucks on NBA MARKET. That is up 4¢ from the Cavaliers’ opening price of 71¢. For context, favorites have won 67% of the games on our results page so far (54-27).
How they come in
How both teams came out of their recent games, and what the market expected.
The Cavaliers are 1-1 this week: a 121-111 home win over the Wizards on Wednesday as 76¢ favorites and a 114-111 loss at the Hawks on Thursday as 49¢ underdogs. Both went under the total. On the market they rate 61, 7th of 30, and they are 3-2 against 3.1 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 52 on average, about an average run.
The Bucks lost their only game this week, 132-100 to the Rockets at home on Wednesday as 24¢ underdogs on Polymarket. It went over the 226.5 total.
Injury report
As of Oct 31. These can change right up to tip.
Jaylon Tyson (Cavaliers): Out, ankle
Nae'Qwan Tomlin (Cavaliers): Out, back
Meleek Thomas (Cavaliers): Questionable, foot
What the market projects tonight
From Kalshi’s player props as of Sat 8:06 AM ET. A projection is the average result Kalshi’s prices point to; the likely range runs from about 70% to about 30%.
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers): 19.7 points (likely 15 to 29), 4.2 rebounds, 4.5 assists
James Harden (Cavaliers): 18.1 points (likely 15 to 23), 4.3 rebounds, 6.3 assists
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers): 16.1 points (likely 13 to 20), 8.1 rebounds, 3.4 assists
Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers): 12.9 points (likely 10 to 17), 8.2 rebounds, 1.6 assists
Peyton Watson (Cavaliers): 12.5 points (likely 10 to 17), 3.8 rebounds, 2.1 assists
Tyler Herro (Bucks): 15.7 points (likely 12 to 25), 4.1 rebounds, 3.9 assists
Ryan Rollins (Bucks): 14.1 points (likely 11 to 19), 3.8 rebounds, 3.9 assists
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Bucks): 13.8 points (likely 10 to 18), 4.5 rebounds, 3.1 assists
Kyle Kuzma (Bucks): 10.7 points (likely 8 to 14), 3.8 rebounds, 2.6 assists
Kel'el Ware (Bucks): 9.6 points (likely 6 to 13), 6.0 rebounds
The rotations, by last season’s numbers
Numbers from last season, following each player to his current team. Usage is how often a possession ends with him: a shot, free throws or a turnover.
Cavaliers
Donovan Mitchell: 33.5 min, 32.2% usage, 27.9 pts, 4.5 reb, 5.7 ast
James Harden: 33.8 min, 24.0% usage, 20.5 pts, 4.8 reb, 7.7 ast
Evan Mobley: 31.9 min, 22.5% usage, 18.2 pts, 9.0 reb, 3.6 ast
Peyton Watson: 29.6 min, 20.6% usage, 14.6 pts, 4.9 reb, 2.1 ast (new, was DEN)
Jarrett Allen: 27.1 min, 19.9% usage, 15.4 pts, 8.5 reb, 1.8 ast
Out: Jaylon Tyson, Nae'Qwan Tomlin.
Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.: 33.2 min, 24.3% usage, 17.4 pts, 5.2 reb, 7.4 ast
Ryan Rollins: 32.1 min, 24.2% usage, 17.3 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.6 ast
Tyler Herro: 31.3 min, 24.7% usage, 20.5 pts, 4.8 reb, 4.1 ast (new, was MIA)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 28.3 min, 22.3% usage, 15.4 pts, 5.0 reb, 4.7 ast (new, was MIA)
A.J. Green: 29.1 min, 14.0% usage, 10.4 pts, 2.7 reb, 1.9 ast
Top rookies: Brayden Burries, pick 10 (Bucks).
Cavaliers vs Bucks FAQ
Is Donovan Mitchell playing tonight?
Donovan Mitchell was not on the injury report as of Sat 8:06 AM ET. If that changes, the Cavaliers report will say so before tip, and Mitchell’s 32.2% usage would have to go somewhere.
Who will win, the Cavaliers or the Bucks?
The Cavaliers, at 75¢ on Polymarket to the Bucks’s 25¢. NBA MARKET shows whether Kalshi has either side cheaper.
When and where is Cavaliers vs Bucks?
Saturday, October 31, at 8:00 PM ET, in Milwaukee.
More NBA predictions are up for tonight’s other games, and today’s board has every game across the four sports.
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