The Raptors beat the Magic 129-99 in Toronto on Wednesday, and Polymarket has them at 66¢ for Friday's rematch, up 3¢ from a 63¢ open. Both sides are short: Kawhi Leonard (knee) for Toronto, Paolo Banchero (ankle) for Orlando. This Magic vs Raptors prediction covers Friday, October 30, at 7:30 PM ET.
Magic and Raptors this season
Magic: with Banchero out, Franz Wagner carried 35% of listed Magic points, Bane 26% (NBA USAGE, Kalshi, Oct 28 8:30 AM)
Raptors: with Kawhi Leonard out, Barrett and Barnes split 26% each of listed points (NBA USAGE, Kalshi, Oct 28 8:30 AM)
Price: Raptors 66¢, Magic 34¢ (Polymarket, as of Thu 3:51 PM ET)
Kalshi: Raptors 65¢, Magic 36¢
Game total: 226.5 points (higher 50¢, lower 50¢)
2027 title price: Magic 1¢, Raptors 4¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
Magic vs Raptors prediction: what the price says
The market makes the Raptors the favorite at 66¢; the Magic are 34¢. Kalshi has the Raptors 1¢ cheaper at 65¢. Compare the two prices for Magic vs Raptors on NBA MARKET. The Raptors opened at 63¢, so the price has moved 3¢ toward them since. This season, the team favored at tip has won 47 of 68 games we have logged (69%). Wins vs expected shows whether either side has been beating the market.
The rotations, by last season’s numbers
2025-26 regular-season numbers on today’s rosters. Usage measures how many possessions a player finishes while he’s on the court. Who picks up the shots when a starter sits is on NBA USAGE.
Magic
Desmond Bane: 33.6 min, 23.3% usage, 20.1 pts, 4.1 reb, 4.1 ast
Franz Wagner: 30.0 min, 27.0% usage, 20.6 pts, 5.2 reb, 3.3 ast
Anthony Black: 29.8 min, 22.2% usage, 15.0 pts, 3.8 reb, 3.7 ast
Jalen Suggs: 27.6 min, 22.9% usage, 13.8 pts, 3.9 reb, 5.5 ast
Wendell Carter Jr.: 29.3 min, 15.6% usage, 11.8 pts, 7.4 reb, 2.0 ast
Out: Paolo Banchero, Jonathan Isaac, Noah Penda.
Raptors
Scottie Barnes: 33.5 min, 23.4% usage, 18.1 pts, 7.5 reb, 5.9 ast
RJ Barrett: 30.3 min, 25.8% usage, 19.3 pts, 5.3 reb, 3.3 ast
Immanuel Quickley: 31.9 min, 21.1% usage, 16.4 pts, 4.0 reb, 5.9 ast
Jakob Poeltl: 25.0 min, 15.3% usage, 10.7 pts, 7.0 reb, 2.0 ast
Jamal Shead: 22.6 min, 15.5% usage, 6.6 pts, 1.7 reb, 5.4 ast
Out: Kawhi Leonard.
Recent form: Magic vs Raptors
The last few games for both teams, with the price going in.
The Magic are 1-1 this week: a 111-102 win at the Knicks on Sunday as 31¢ underdogs and a 129-99 loss at the Raptors on Wednesday as 38¢ underdogs. One of the two finished above the market total. On the market they rate 50, 17th of 30, and they are 1-3 against 1.6 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 65 on average, a tougher run than most.
The Raptors are 1-1 this week: a 117-94 loss at the Timberwolves on Sunday as 51¢ favorites and a 129-99 home win over the Magic on Wednesday as 62¢ favorites. One of the two finished above the market total. On the market they rate 60, 7th of 30, and they are 3-1 against 2.6 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 53 on average, a tougher run than most.
Props in those games:
Franz Wagner (Magic): higher than 9.5 points in both games; higher than 1.5 rebounds in both games
Desmond Bane (Magic): higher than 3.5 assists in both games; higher than 9.5 points in both games
Scottie Barnes (Raptors): lower than 7.5 rebounds in both games; lower than 5.5 assists in both games
Immanuel Quickley (Raptors): lower than 3.5 rebounds in both games; higher than 0.5 threes in both games
Injury report: Magic vs Raptors
As of Oct 26. These can change right up to tip.
Kawhi Leonard (Raptors): Out, knee
Paolo Banchero (Magic): Out, ankle
Noah Penda (Magic): Out, hamstring
Jonathan Isaac (Magic): Out, knee
Izaiyah Nelson (Magic): Out, ankle
Nate Bittle (Raptors): Out, foot
Questions about Magic vs Raptors
Who is favored in Magic vs Raptors?
The Raptors. Polymarket has them at 66¢, which reads as about a 66% chance, and the price moves live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Magic vs Raptors?
Friday, October 30, at 7:30 PM ET, in Toronto.
For tonight’s other games, see NBA previews; today’s board covers every sport.
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