Updated Oct 30: team news added and prices refreshed (as of 7:21 PM ET).
Manchester City are 3.4 points ahead of their prices, the most in the Premier League, and Brighton are third on the same list at 2.9. Man City vs Brighton prediction: City 56¢, Saturday, October 31, 11:00 AM ET.
Price: Man City 56¢, draw 22¢, Brighton 22¢ (Polymarket, as of Fri 7:21 PM ET)
Kalshi: Man City 57¢ to win
Live price and every move: EPL WIRE
Man City vs Brighton prediction: reading the price
City are 56¢ on Polymarket, about a 56% chance, down from 60¢ on Thursday evening, and 57¢ on Kalshi. The draw and Brighton are both 22¢. Here is how draw prices work. Both apps, side by side, are on EPL MARKET.
Points against expected
City have 18 points from 7 against 14.6 expected, against the 19th-toughest schedule. Brighton have 13 from 7 against 10.1, against the 6th-toughest, and their +12 goal difference is the best in the EPL table (Expected, season to Oct 29). The rest of the weekend’s EPL previews are on EPL predictions.
Team news
City are without Semenyo (knee), and Nunes is a doubt with a muscle problem that kept him out of the last two games. Haaland, rested for the midweek cup tie, has 9 league goals; Cherki has 4 goals and 2 assists.
Brighton are without Struijk (hamstring), Mitoma, Ferguson (ankle) and Azeez. Kadıoğlu and Andrés are back from hip problems and listed at 75% to play, and Minteh and Wieffer returned as substitutes in midweek. Groß has 3 goals and 6 assists, Kostoulas 3 and 4.
City have eased from 60¢ to 56¢ on Polymarket since Thursday evening. The team sheets at about 10:00 AM ET show whether Nunes is fit and whether Kadıoğlu starts.
Before kickoff
Team sheets: about 10:00 AM ET, an hour before kickoff.
Kickoff: 11:00 AM ET.
FAQ
Who is favored in Man City vs Brighton?
Man City at 56¢ to win, with the draw at 22¢ and Brighton at 22¢ on Polymarket (Fri 7:21 PM ET). Kalshi has City at 57¢.
When is Man City vs Brighton?
Saturday, October 31, at 11:00 AM ET.
What happens to a trade if the game ends in a draw?
The draw is its own outcome: contracts on either team to win settle at zero, and only the draw pays.
When are the lineups announced?
About an hour before kickoff, when the clubs publish their team sheets.
Who is out for Man City vs Brighton?
Man City: Semenyo, with Nunes a doubt. Brighton: Struijk, Mitoma, Ferguson and Azeez, with Kadıoğlu and Andrés listed at 75% to play (Premier League injury list and club news, Oct 30).
Prices move constantly and are not advice.
Polymarket gives new users $25 on a $10 deposit (code SKILL, details).