FURIA are 72¢ on Polymarket and Kalshi for Saturday's PGL Masters Bucharest final, about a 72% chance (Fri 5:48 PM ET). This Nemiga vs FURIA prediction starts from how each team got here: Nemiga beat Vitality as a 17¢ underdog in Friday's semifinal, and FURIA beat MOUZ after trading at 41¢ on Kalshi. Best of five, 7:00 AM ET.
What the numbers say right now
Nemiga: 9-4 over the last 30 days, 2.8 wins above the 6.3 that prices expected, 4th-best of 51 teams, against the 14th-toughest schedule (Expected, 30 days to Oct 30)
Nemiga: beat FUT as a 31¢ underdog on Oct 29 and Vitality as a 17¢ underdog on Oct 30 (WIRE, Oct 29-30)
FURIA: 12-5 over the last 30 days, 1.6 wins above what prices expected, against the 36th-toughest schedule of 51 teams (Expected, 30 days to Oct 30)
FURIA: 5th in CS2 market power rankings at a 61 rating, up 5 in 14 days (CS2 power rankings, results through Oct 27)
Price: FURIA 72¢, Nemiga 29¢ on Polymarket (as of Fri 5:48 PM ET)
Kalshi: FURIA 72¢, Nemiga 29¢
Event winner: FURIA 68¢, Nemiga 31¢ on Polymarket, up 51¢ and 26¢ in 24 hours
Top rated: molodoy (FURIA), khaN (Nemiga)
Nemiga vs FURIA prediction: reading the price
Polymarket and Kalshi agree at 72¢ for FURIA, so there is no gap between the apps. Nemiga have beaten their prices by more than FURIA over 30 days (2.8 wins to 1.6), which is the case for the underdog; FURIA's 72¢ says the market still sees them as the clear favorite over five maps. Every move is charted live on CS2 WIRE.
CS2 MARKET keeps both apps side by side. At these prices, $10 on FURIA returns approximately $13.89 if they win, and $10 on Nemiga returns $34.48.
Map by map
FURIA to win by two or more maps (3-0 or 3-1): 54¢ on Polymarket
All five maps: 23¢ on Polymarket
A 3-0 or 3-1 FURIA win is close to an even call at 54¢, while a full five-map series is priced at about one in four.
Nemiga and FURIA lineups
FURIA are KSCERATO, YEKINDAR and yuurih on rifles, molodoy on the AWP and FalleN calling.
Nemiga are KaiR0N-, syph0 and Xant3r on rifles, khaN on the AWP and robo calling. Every top team's five, with roles, is on LINEUPS.
Who to watch
molodoy (FURIA): the AWPer and FURIA's top-rated player on our ratings.
KSCERATO (FURIA): the team’s most consistent rifler, and high upside.
robo (Nemiga): the in-game leader, calling for a lineup that has beaten its prices by 2.8 wins over 30 days.
Quick answers
Who is favored in Nemiga vs FURIA?
FURIA, at 72¢ on Polymarket and Kalshi against 29¢ for Nemiga (Fri 5:48 PM ET).
When does Nemiga vs FURIA start?
Saturday, October 31, at 7:00 AM ET, best of five.
Prices move, and this is not advice.
Polymarket lists the most CS2 series: $25 on a $10 deposit, code SKILL. Claim it here.
More apps and current offers are on the comparison page.