Monday, November 2: the Thunder are in Cleveland to play the Cavaliers at 7:00 PM ET.
Form going in
Thunder: 4-2 against prices that added up to 3.9 wins, 0.1 above, 16th-toughest schedule of 30 (Expected, season to Nov 1)
Cavaliers: 4-2 against 3.8 expected wins, 0.2 above, 25th-toughest schedule of 30 (Expected, season to Nov 1)
Price: Cavaliers 61¢, Thunder 39¢ (Polymarket, as of Sun 4:06 PM ET)
Kalshi: Cavaliers 62¢, Thunder 39¢
Game total: 226.5 points (over 50¢, under 50¢)
2027 title price: Thunder 16¢, Cavaliers 3¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
What the price says
Polymarket has the Cavaliers at 61¢ and the Thunder at 39¢. Polymarket has the Cavaliers 1¢ cheaper; Kalshi is 62¢. For the Kalshi side of this one, NBA MARKET lists both prices. That is up 24¢ from the Cavaliers’ opening price of 37¢. For context, favorites have won 69% of the games on our results page so far (61-27). How Thunder and Cavaliers have done against their pre-game prices is tracked on Expected.
Thunder vs Cavaliers player stats
Last season’s numbers, mapped to current rosters. Usage is the share of team possessions a player ends while on the floor, with a shot, free throws or a turnover. For how Cavaliers’ minutes and shots are spread, check NBA USAGE.
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 33.2 min, 33.3% usage, 31.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 6.6 ast
Jalen Williams: 28.4 min, 26.1% usage, 17.1 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.5 ast
Chet Holmgren: 28.9 min, 21.9% usage, 17.1 pts, 8.9 reb, 1.7 ast
Ajay Mitchell: 25.8 min, 21.8% usage, 13.6 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.6 ast
Cason Wallace: 26.6 min, 14.5% usage, 8.6 pts, 3.1 reb, 2.6 ast
Cavaliers
Donovan Mitchell: 33.5 min, 32.2% usage, 27.9 pts, 4.5 reb, 5.7 ast
James Harden: 33.8 min, 24.0% usage, 20.5 pts, 4.8 reb, 7.7 ast
Evan Mobley: 31.9 min, 22.5% usage, 18.2 pts, 9.0 reb, 3.6 ast
Peyton Watson: 29.6 min, 20.6% usage, 14.6 pts, 4.9 reb, 2.1 ast (new, was DEN)
Jarrett Allen: 27.1 min, 19.9% usage, 15.4 pts, 8.5 reb, 1.8 ast
Thunder vs Cavaliers FAQ
Is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing tonight?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was not on the injury report as of Sun 4:06 PM ET. If that changes, the Thunder report will say so before tip, and Gilgeous-Alexander’s 33.3% usage would have to go somewhere.
Is Donovan Mitchell playing tonight?
Donovan Mitchell was not on the injury report as of Sun 4:06 PM ET. Status can still change at shootaround, so the last report before tip is the one that counts.
Who will win, the Thunder or the Cavaliers?
The Cavaliers, at 61¢ on Polymarket to the Thunder’s 39¢. NBA MARKET shows whether Kalshi has either side cheaper.
When and where is Thunder vs Cavaliers?
Monday, November 2, at 7:00 PM ET, in Cleveland.
More NBA predictions are up for tonight’s other games, and today’s board has every game across the four sports.
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